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About · curated by Nick Boehling, MD · @nb2276

Phase 1

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Early signal

MIRACLE-2

ForMSS rectal ca ≤10cm from anal verge, synchronous unresectable mets, 1L

Early tumor shrinkage (≥20% target lesion reduction at 8 weeks) surrogate

ETS 76.0%

95% CI 62.4%-86.8%; single-arm, no comparator

TL;DRORR 68%, mOS 23.2mo with upfront HFRT/SBRT then chemo + tislelizumab in MSS unresectable metastatic rectal ca; 18% reached NED.

Why it mattersRadiation oncology

The RT-relevant claim rests on sequencing: HFRT to primary AND HFRT/SBRT to metastases delivered BEFORE any systemic therapy, with 18% (9/50) converting to NED. Dose and fractionation are not reported in source, which blocks transfer to practice. G3/4 lymphopenia 36.7% is the cost of irradiating primary plus mets ahead of cytotoxics.

Monday clinic

In 1L MSS rectal cancer with synchronous unresectable liver or lung mets, this supports enrolling on a conversion-intent RT-first protocol rather than changing off-trial practice; it does not extend to resectable disease, MSI-high tumors, or non-rectal colon primaries.

The longer read
MIRACLE-2
Outcomen (%)95% CI
CR1 (2.0%)n/a
PR33 (66.0%)n/a
ORR34 (68.0%)53.6%-80.0%
DCR44 (88.0%)76.0%-95.2%
ETS38 (76.0%)62.4%-86.8%
10 details 3 trials watching

Prospective single-arm phase I study at Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center with a Fujian Cancer Hospital branch. Efficacy data available for N=50 as of Dec 31, 2025, median follow-up 19.9 months (95% CI 16.4-23.4). Reassessment every 8 weeks.

MSS rectal cancer with primary ≤10 cm from anal verge on MRI and synchronous unresectable metastases. 38 males (76.0%), median age 57 (range 30-73). Liver mets 52.0%, lung 8.0%, both 40.0%; RAS/BRAF mutant in 56.0%.

Hypofractionated RT to the primary and HFRT or SBRT to metastases, delivered first, before systemic therapy. Dose, fractionation and target volumes are not reported in source, so the RT prescription cannot be reproduced from this abstract.

After RT: FOLFOX-bevacizumab-tislelizumab for RAS/BRAF-mutant pts, FOLFIRI-cetuximab-tislelizumab for wild-type. Tislelizumab 200mg Q2W. Median eight treatment courses (range 3-12). Resectable disease went to primary resection plus metastasectomy or local ablation; watch-and-wait was considered for cCR where sphincter preservation was not possible.

Primary: ETS rate (≥20% target lesion reduction at 8 weeks post systemic initiation). Secondary: DCR, DOR, OS, PFS, safety. Note the headline ORR and OS circulating with this abstract are secondary, not the registered primary.

No grade 5 TRAEs. All-grade lymphopenia 95.9%, anemia 91.8%, leukopenia 69.4%. G3/4: lymphopenia 36.7%, neutropenia 26.5%, leukopenia 20.4%. The marrow and lymphoid toxicity dominates, which is the expected signature of irradiating a pelvic primary plus liver/lung mets ahead of FOLFOX or FOLFIRI.

first-line MSS rectal cancer with a low-lying primary and synchronous unresectable liver or lung metastases
Does not represent MSI-high tumors, resectable metastatic disease, colon primaries above 10 cm from the anal verge, or pts previously treated with systemic therapy.

The RT prescription is absent from the abstract, so the intervention cannot be replicated. DOR median 8.0 months with a 1-year DOR rate of 20% sits awkwardly under a 68% ORR, and PFS 9.3 months against OS 23.2 months means most of the survival curve is post-progression, where subsequent lines rather than the studied regimen are acting.

The trial's own conclusion claims only a high ETS rate and manageable safety, not an immune-resistance mechanism. Whether RT contributed anything beyond debulking is untestable in a single-arm design where every patient also received chemotherapy plus a PD-1 antibody.

EndpointMedian95% CI1-yr rate
OS23.2 mo15.1-31.393.3%
PFS9.3 mo7.1-11.533.4%
DOR (n=34 CR/PR)8.0 mo5.2-10.820%

Single-arm phase I, N=50, no randomised comparator; median f/u 19.9mo with OS still immature. Hard maturity gate: single-arm never reaches confirmatory.

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