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2026-10-20

digest generated 2026-10-21

Nine-trial NACT pool (N=10,075): 5-yr LRR 4.1% with pCR vs 9.5% without (HR 3.33), TNBC non-pCR 18.5%, the risk group to target for post-NACT RT.
All-breast, all-retrospective day on locoregional risk for RT selection. After NACT, residual disease and TNBC drive LRR (non-pCR HR 3.33; CPS+EG 5-yr LRR-free 71% to 99%), and RNI's adjusted LRR HR 0.497 rests on a null univariate split. With upfront mastectomy and no RT, RS โ‰ฅ18 (10-yr LRR 16.5% vs 9.7%) and age <45 with >25% nodes positive flag LRR risk.

Breast

Five retrospective or pooled cohorts on who needs PMRT or RNI. None randomised RT, so every RT signal here is confounded by indication.

Caveats dominate

21-gene Recurrence Score and locoregional recurrence in node-positive breast cancer (SWOG 8814 correlative)

ForPostmenopausal ER/PR+ node-positive breast, mastectomy without PMRT

TL;DR10-yr LRR 16.5% vs 9.7% for RS โ‰ฅ18 vs <18 (P=.02) in ER/PR+ node-positive breast; widest split at 1-3 nodes after mastectomy without RT.

Why it mattersRadiation oncology

In mastectomy-only pts with 1-3 nodes, 10-yr LRR was 1.5% at RS <18 vs 11.1% at RS โ‰ฅ18 (P=.051, n=165). That gives the PMRT de-escalation hypothesis TailorRT is testing a biological basis. At โ‰ฅ4 nodes low RS offered no protection (25.9% vs 27.0%), so a low score is no reason to drop PMRT in pN2a.

Monday clinic

In a postmenopausal ER/PR+ pN1 pt after mastectomy with RS โ‰ฅ18, this argues against treating the score as reassurance when discussing PMRT; it does not support omitting PMRT at RS <18 outside a trial, and does not apply to โ‰ฅ4 positive nodes. The longer read

10 details

Retrospective translational cohort within phase 3 SWOG S8814, which enrolled 1989-1995. RT use was not randomized: it was expected after BCS and left to physician discretion after mastectomy. Reported under REMARK guidelines.

Postmenopausal, ER/PR+, node-positive women from the tamoxifen-only and CAF-T arms who had RS assayed. Final N=316: BCS + RT or mastectomy without RT. Pts who received PMRT were excluded, so the mastectomy cohort is the group whose physicians judged RT unnecessary.

Tamoxifen 20 mg daily for 5 y, alone or after 6 cycles of CAF (CAF-T). The concurrent CAF + tamoxifen arm was excluded.

Primary: LRR (breast, chest wall, axillary, infraclavicular, supraclavicular or IMN), censored at distant recurrence or death. The primary analysis used continuous RS; the secondary analysis compared RS <18 vs โ‰ฅ18.

The continuous-RS primary analysis was not significant (P=.11). The categorical split and the subset tables carry the signal.

CohortnRS 0-17RS โ‰ฅ18P
All pts3169.7%16.5%.02
Mastectomy, no RT2527.7%16.8%.03
Mastectomy, no RT, 1-3 nodes1651.5%11.1%.051
Mastectomy, no RT, โ‰ฅ4 nodesnot stated25.9%27.0%.27
VariableHR (95% CI)P
Intermediate or high RS2.36 (1.02-5.45).04
โ‰ฅ4 nodes3.37 (1.69-6.72).001
Mastectomy1.11 (0.45-2.71).82
Chemotherapy0.58 (0.29-1.15).12

Direction agrees with NSABP B-28, where RS also independently predicted LRR. Absolute LRR at 1-3 nodes was higher here than in B-28, which treated every pt with chemo and allowed no PMRT. MA.20 and EORTC 22922 show a nodal RT DFS benefit even where LRR is low, so LRR alone may underestimate what RT buys.

postmenopausal ER/PR+ pN1 pts after mastectomy without PMRT, on tamoxifen-based therapy
Does not represent pN2a disease, BCS pts, or pts on modern systemic therapy.

Treatment era: CAF and tamoxifen only, with no taxanes or AIs, both of which may lower baseline LRR. LRR was censored at distant recurrence, which can undercount local failures. The โ‰ฅ4-node mastectomy subset had no n reported.

RS looks prognostic for LRR beyond nodal count, but it cannot yet select pN1 pts for PMRT omission. That question belongs to TailorRT (MA.39), which randomizes only low-RS pN1 pts. Nodal burden still dominates the risk at โ‰ฅ4 nodes.

Retrospective correlative of a chemo trial with nonrandomized RT. Prespecified continuous-RS analysis null (P=.11); the cut at 18 was confirmed post hoc; nodal subsets exploratory with few events.

  • Is PMRT omission safe in pN1 with low RS?
  • Does RS predict LRR under modern systemic therapy?
  • Does low LRR risk predict lack of RT DFS benefit?

Sourced from Woodward, Wendy A. et al.

๐Ÿ“š Sources ยท ๐Ÿ“„ 1 paper
๐Ÿ“„ PAPER Woodward, Wendy A.; Barlow, William E.; Jagsi, Reshma et al. ยท JAMA Oncology (2020-04)
Association Between 21-Gene Assay Recurrence Score and Locoregional Recurrence Rates in Patients With Node-Positive Breast Cancer
Confirmatory

Locoregional recurrence after neoadjuvant chemotherapy: pooled analysis of nine trials

ForPrimary breast cancer after anthracycline/taxane NACT, incl. cT4a-d

TL;DR5-yr LRR 4.1% with pCR vs 9.5% without (multivariate HR 3.33); TNBC non-pCR 18.5%. Surgery type not independent after NACT.

Why it mattersRadiation oncology

Residual disease interacts with subtype: TNBC non-pCR LRR was 18.5% at 5y versus 4.2% after pCR, and HR-/HER2+ 14.8% vs 3.1%. With RT use unrecorded, these rates show where post-neoadjuvant RNI/PMRT escalation trials should focus. Within pCR, only cN+ trended toward risk (HR 1.61, p=0.054), relevant to node-based de-escalation.

Monday clinic

In TNBC or HR-/HER2+ breast cancer with residual disease after NACT, this backs a high-LRR-risk read when weighing PMRT and nodal coverage; after pCR it shows low LRR across subtypes but cannot say whether omitting RT is safe, because RT delivery was not recorded. The longer read

13 details 4 trials watching

Exploratory individual-patient-data pooled analysis of 9 prospective GBG/AGO-B neoadjuvant trials (GeparDuo through GeparSepto, PREPARE, TECHNO), 1998-2013. N=10,075; median follow-up 67 mo. Pathologic response was analysed with landmarking (multivariate set N=9552).

Histologically confirmed primary invasive breast cancer, tumour mostly โ‰ฅ2 cm; locally advanced cT4a-c and inflammatory cT4d eligible in all trials except GeparDuo. 63.6% HR-positive, 28.1% HER2-positive; pCR (ypT0 ypN0) in 20.4%.

Anthracycline/taxane-based NACT in all trials. Anti-HER2 therapy varied by trial (trastuzumab, lapatinib, pertuzumab in later trials; none in GeparDuo, GeparTrio, PREPARE). Endocrine therapy โ‰ฅ5 years for ER/PgR-positive pts.

Protocols recommended adjuvant RT per national guidelines, with RNI indicated mainly by nodal stage. No patient-level RT data were available, so receipt, fields and dose are unknown.

LRR as first event (breast/chest wall, axillary, infra/supraclavicular nodes) measured from surgery; distant recurrence, second malignancy and death were competing events.

5-yr LRR 7.8% BCS vs 11.3% mastectomy, but surgery type was not an independent predictor in multivariate analysis. Age, cN, grade, subtype and pCR were independent; non-pCR HR 3.33 and TNBC HR 2.72.

StratumpCRNon-pCR
HR+/HER2-3.9%5.9%
HR+/HER2+4.8%8.1%
HR-/HER2+3.1%14.8%
TNBC4.2%18.5%
BCS4.0%8.8%
Mastectomy3.9%11.3%

The authors place this alongside the EBCTCG meta-analysis, which found higher local recurrence after NACT than after adjuvant chemotherapy, especially with suboptimal local therapy. The NSABP B-51 question (RNI after nodal pCR) is the RT decision these data frame but cannot answer.

pts with primary breast cancer, including cT4 and inflammatory disease, treated with anthracycline/taxane NACT in German cooperative-group trials
Does not represent pts given modern post-neoadjuvant escalation (T-DM1, capecitabine) or pts with known RT delivery.

Anti-HER2 therapy was inconsistent across eras, which the authors use to explain the lower LRR in HR+/HER2+ disease. gBRCA status incomplete; the univariate surgery effect is likely confounded by selection.

Biology and response drive LRR after NACT more than surgery type. The non-pCR TNBC and HR-/HER2+ groups are where locoregional escalation has the most room to show benefit. With RT unrecorded, the low post-pCR rates are not evidence that RT can be omitted.

Large mature IPD pool of prospective trials confirming known LRR predictors after NACT. Exploratory, prognostic only, and blind to RT delivery, so it cannot test an RT decision.

Sourced from Werutsky, Gustavo et al.

๐Ÿ“š Sources ยท ๐Ÿ“„ 1 paper
๐Ÿ“„ PAPER Werutsky, Gustavo; Untch, Michael; Hanusch, Claus et al. ยท European Journal of Cancer (2020-05)
Locoregional recurrence risk after neoadjuvant chemotherapy: A pooled analysis of nine prospective neoadjuvant breast cancer trials
Caveats dominate

PMRT selection in T1-T2, 1-3 node-positive breast cancer

ForpT1-T2, 1-3 N+ breast after mastectomy + ALND, no PMRT

TL;DR10y KM LRRยฑSDR 15.9% without PMRT in pT1-T2 1-3 N+; age <45 with >25% nodes positive reached 58.0%.

Why it mattersRadiation oncology

Clavicular nodes carried 19 of 57 regional recurrences (33%) versus 2 for internal mammary, so the residual risk this model flags sits mostly in the axillary-supraclavicular field. In women โ‰ฅ45 with โ‰ค25% nodes positive, 10y LRRยฑSDR was 10.8%, near the authors' <10% omission threshold, while medial or ER-negative tumors pushed that subset to approximately 20%.

Monday clinic

In a woman โ‰ฅ45 with a lateral, ER-positive pT1-T2 tumor and โ‰ค25% of ALND nodes positive, this supports discussing PMRT omission; it does not extend to SLNB-only staging, where the nodal-ratio factor cannot be computed. The longer read

11 details

Retrospective population-based cohort from the BCCA Breast Cancer Outcomes Unit database. N=821 of 1117 identified, after excluding 296 who received RT. Cox multivariable modeling, then a classification model built from the significant factors. Median follow-up 7.7y.

pT1-T2, 1-3 positive axillary nodes, diagnosed 1989-1997, all treated with modified radical mastectomy and axillary dissection. Excluded pT3-T4, โ‰ฅ4 N+, M1 and unknown pTN. Median age 62.

Adjuvant systemic therapy in 94% per BCCA guidelines: chemo alone 21.7%, hormonal alone 57.1%, both 15.1%. Chemo was AC, CMF or FAC; hormonal therapy was mostly tamoxifen.

No pt received locoregional RT; the study defines baseline no-PMRT risk to inform selection, not RT efficacy. Authors anchor benefit estimates on an RT relative LRR reduction of approximately two-thirds.

Primary: isolated LRR (chest wall, axillary, infraclavicular, IMN as first site) and LRRยฑsimultaneous distant recurrence. Secondary: BCSS and OS.

Overall 10y LRRยฑSDR 15.9%. Each of age <45, T2, grade 3, ER-negative, medial location, >1 N+ or >25% N+ alone conferred >20% 10y LRR on univariate analysis. Age was the first model split (29.3% vs 13.7%, p<0.0001).

FactorILRR HR (95% CI), pLRRยฑSDR HR (95% CI), p
Age <45 vs โ‰ฅ453.44 (1.68-7.07), p=0.0013.22 (1.54-6.75), p=0.002
>25% vs โ‰ค25% nodes positive2.00 (0.99-4.05), p=0.052.61 (1.31-5.22), p=0.006
Medial vs lateral2.46 (1.15-5.26), p=0.0023.69 (2.17-6.29), p=0.0001
ER-negative vs positive2.02 (1.16-3.54), p=0.011.82 (1.05-3.17), p=0.03
SubgroupNILRRLRRยฑSDR
Age <45, >25% N+1947.6%58.0%
Age <45, โ‰ค25% N+10418.5%23.8%
Age โ‰ฅ45, >25% N+12220.6%26.7%
Age โ‰ฅ45, โ‰ค25% N+5708.7%10.8%

No-PMRT LRR here (13-16% at 10y) sits well below the ~30% in DBCG 82b/82c and nearer the BCCA randomized trial (16% at 10y) and systemic-therapy trial cohorts (12-20%). Authors attribute the gap to axillary staging, systemic therapy and selection differences.

pT1-T2, 1-3 N+ women after mastectomy with full axillary dissection, treated with 1990s AC/CMF/tamoxifen-era systemic therapy and no PMRT
Does not represent SLNB-only axillary staging or pts on modern systemic regimens.

Excluding the 296 PMRT recipients likely removed higher-risk pts, biasing baseline risk downward. The >25% nodes positive ratio depends on ALND node yield, and its ILRR HR CI (0.99-4.05) touches 1. The ER status row in Table 1 shows a transposition in the source.

Authors propose <10% 10y LRR as a low-risk group that may be spared PMRT, >30% as justifying it, and 15-20% as the threshold for discussion. The model supports considering PMRT in all women <45 and recommending it when >25% of nodes are positive.

Retrospective single-province no-RT cohort; excluded PMRT recipients; data-driven breakpoints, no validation set; pre-taxane, ALND-era systemic therapy limits transfer to modern pts.

  • Does the risk model validate with modern systemic therapy?
  • Nodal-ratio factor usable after SLNB-only axillary staging?
  • Do genomic risk scores refine PMRT selection in 1-3 N+?

Sourced from Truong, Pauline T. et al.

๐Ÿ“š Sources ยท ๐Ÿ“„ 1 paper
๐Ÿ“„ PAPER Truong, Pauline T.; Olivotto, Ivo A.; Kader, Hosam A. et al. ยท International Journal of Radiation Oncology*Biology*Physics (2005-04)
Selecting breast cancer patients with T1-T2 tumors and one to three positive axillary nodes at high postmastectomy locoregional recurrence risk for adjuvant radiotherapy
Caveats dominate

CPS+EG staging and local-regional recurrence after neoadjuvant chemotherapy

ForBreast cancer post-NACT without trastuzumab, cStage III or ypN+

TL;DR5-yr freedom from LRR by CPS+EG score spanned 71% to 99%, vs 86% to 97% by clinical or pathologic stage, in 1697 pts after NACT.

Why it mattersRadiation oncology

The PMRT read is in the CPS+EG โ‰ค2 slice of the PMRT-indicated cohort (cStage III or ypN+): 5-yr LRR-free survival did not differ by local therapy (P=0.73), but only 72 pts had mastectomy alone. ER-positive or low-grade biology drives those low scores, so the proposed de-escalation gate is biology on top of residual nodal stage.

Monday clinic

In cStage III or ypN+ disease after anthracycline/taxane NACT with ER-positive or low-grade biology (CPS+EG โ‰ค2), this is hypothesis-level support for discussing PMRT omission; it does not extend to pts treated with neoadjuvant trastuzumab or to CPS+EG โ‰ฅ3. The longer read

15 details 1 trial watching

Retrospective analysis of two MD Anderson cohorts used to build (932 pts, 1997 to 2003) and validate (804 pts, 2004 to 2005) CPS+EG; 39 excluded, N=1697. Median f/u 51 mo.

All pts received neoadjuvant anthracycline and/or taxane chemotherapy; median age 50. Neoadjuvant trastuzumab and preoperative RT excluded; 20 pts missing ER or grade also excluded.

Local therapy: BCT 656 (39%), mastectomy alone 297 (17%), mastectomy + PMRT 744 (44%). Institutional PMRT indications were clinical stage III, ypN+, or select cT1/T2N1 with high-risk features. Dose, fractionation and fields not reported in source.

LRR = invasive cancer in ipsilateral breast, chest wall or regional nodes, counted regardless of distant timing. Objectives: CPS+EG vs stage for LRR stratification, and whether a score threshold could identify pts safely omitting PMRT.

5-yr freedom from LRR 71% to 99% by CPS+EG vs 86% to 97% by clinical or pathologic stage. In the PMRT-indicated cohort with CPS+EG โ‰ค2, local therapy type made no difference (P=0.73).

Local therapyNLRR eventsCrude LRR
Breast conserving therapy656365.5%
Mastectomy alone297248.1%
Mastectomy + PMRT744506.7%
CPS+EG score5-yr LRR-free (%)95% CI (%)
097.891.3โ€“99.5
198.695.8โ€“99.5
295.392.4โ€“97.1
393.590.2โ€“95.7
485.479.8โ€“89.6
579.067.5โ€“86.8
670.849.8โ€“84.3
SubgroupBCT NMastectomy alone NMastectomy + PMRT NP
CPS+EG 0-2 (N=358)114721720.73
CPS+EG 3-6 (N=745)202514920.0006

NSABP B-18/B-27 (cited) reported 10-yr LRR of 10.3% with BCT and 12.3% with mastectomy but gave no PMRT, so cannot address it. The MD Anderson Prognostic Index omitted ER and grade. NSABP B-51 later randomized regional nodal RT in cN+ โ†’ ypN0, a different population from the ypN+ pts here.

non-trastuzumab NACT pts with cStage III or ypN+ disease and ER-positive or low-grade biology
Does not represent HER2+ pts treated with neoadjuvant anti-HER2 therapy or modern immunotherapy-containing regimens.

Prose direction for the CPS+EG โ‰ฅ3 subgroup (mastectomy alone favored) contradicts the MVA; overall LRR is reported as both 6.5% and 6.1%. Median f/u of 51 mo is short for ER-positive disease, the biology driving the favorable scores.

The stratification claim is sound and adds biology to anatomic staging for LRR. The omission claim is a null comparison in a small, selected subgroup with no equivalence margin, so it frames a trial question rather than settling one.

Retrospective single-institution cohort; the PMRT-omission claim rests on a non-randomized subgroup with confounding by indication and only 72 mastectomy-alone pts.

Sourced from Vila, Jose et al.

๐Ÿ“š Sources ยท ๐Ÿ“„ 1 paper
๐Ÿ“„ PAPER Vila, Jose; Teshome, Mediget; Tucker, Susan L. et al. ยท Annals of Surgery (2017-03)
Combining Clinical and Pathologic Staging Variables Has Prognostic Value in Predicting Local-regional Recurrence Following Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for Breast Cancer
Caveats dominate

Long-term impact of regional nodal irradiation after neoadjuvant systemic therapy

ForcN+ stage II-III breast, NAT then BCS/mastectomy with ALND

TL;DRAdjusted LRR HR 0.497 and DR HR 0.731 with RNI after NAT in cN+ stage II-III breast; unadjusted 10-yr LRR 9.4% vs 8.1%, P=.62.

Why it mattersRadiation oncology

The unadjusted 10-yr LRR curves barely separate (9.4% vs 8.1%), yet RNI held up in residual-nodal disease on MVA (HR 0.476), which is where most RNI is already given. The axillary pCR arm stays uninformative: 5.5% vs 4.6% with too few events to model, so it does not answer the omission question.

Monday clinic

In cN+ breast with residual axillary disease after NAT and ALND, this supports keeping RNI in the plan; it does not establish safe RNI omission after axillary pCR. The longer read

12 details 3 trials watching

Single-institution retrospective cohort, N=1289, 1989-2007. Median follow-up 10.2 yrs after definitive surgery. LRR and DR by cumulative incidence with competing risks; Cox multicovariate models.

Stage II-III breast cancer with cytologically confirmed axillary metastases, NAT, then BCS or mastectomy with ALND. Axillary pCR in 368 (28.5%).

RNI defined as RT purposely directed to at least one regional nodal basin, at physician discretion, given to 1080 (83.8%). Median breast/chest wall 50 Gy/25 fx, median boost 10 Gy/5 fx; institutional standard covered undissected axilla, SCV and IMN, with variable field design. Of 209 without RNI, 142 had no RT at all.

LRR (breast or regional nodes) and DR (LRR or DM, first event), plus DSS and OS.

Univariate RNI effect null for LRR and DR. Adjusted, RNI reduced LRR (HR 0.497) and DR (HR 0.731), with the largest DR effect in HER2+ pts on trastuzumab (HR 0.237). No DSS or OS effect.

EndpointNo RNIRNIP
LRR, all pts9.4%8.1%.62
LRR, axillary pCR5.5%4.6%.98
LRR, no axillary pCR12.5%9.3%.24
DR, all pts31.3%36.5%.16
DR, axillary pCR20.3%15.9%.25
DR, no axillary pCR40.4%43.4%.68

Authors read the benefit as carrying over the LRR and DM reductions seen in EORTC 22922 and MA.20 after adjuvant chemo into the NAT setting. They contrast prior HER2+ series (Danish 82b/c, SweBCG91-RT) suggesting relative radioresistance, and the ALTTO subset showing no RNI effect.

cN+ stage II-III breast cancer after NAT and ALND, mostly mastectomy
Does not represent SLNB-only axillary staging or the cN1 to ypN0 omission question NSABP B-51/RTOG 1304 tests.

RNI pts had more adverse baseline features, so adjustment does heavy lifting. 'No RNI' may include unrecorded high tangents. Half the HER2+ cohort predated trastuzumab and was excluded from MVA, shrinking the subgroup behind the HR 0.237 estimate.

Supports RNI after NAT when nodal disease persists. Does not settle omission after axillary pCR; the authors defer that to B-51.

Retrospective, discretionary RNI with marked baseline imbalance; benefit appears only after covariate adjustment, univariate null. HER2+ trastuzumab DR signal is a subgroup estimate.

Sourced from Stecklein, Shane R. et al.

๐Ÿ“š Sources ยท ๐Ÿ“„ 1 paper
๐Ÿ“„ PAPER Stecklein, Shane R.; Park, Minjeong; Liu, Diane D. et al. ยท International Journal of Radiation Oncology*Biology*Physics (2018-11)
Long-Term Impact of Regional Nodal Irradiation in Patients With Node-Positive Breast Cancer Treated With Neoadjuvant Systemic Therapy