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Meta-analysis

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Confirmatory

MARCAP Consortium

ForLocalized prostate cancer, NCCN intermediate to high risk, definitive RT

TL;DRIPD meta-analysis, 10,853 pts: ADT added to RT improved MFS HR 0.83 and OS HR 0.86; dose escalation improved bRFS only.

Reported via UroToday →

Why it mattersRadiation oncology

The dose-invariance result is the load-bearing one: ADT's benefit was identical at ≥74 Gy and <74 Gy (both HR 0.83), so escalating dose does not buy out the ADT decision. Adjuvant prolongation carries the benefit (MFS HR 0.84), neoadjuvant prolongation does not (HR 0.95), which moves sequencing, not just duration.

Monday clinic

In NCCN intermediate- and high-risk localized prostate cancer receiving definitive RT, this supports adding and prolonging ADT on the adjuvant side rather than substituting dose escalation; it does not address node-positive or post-prostatectomy salvage settings.

The longer read
9 details 5 trials watching

Individual patient data meta-analysis from the MARCAP Consortium, 12 eligible trials, 10,853 patients, median follow-up 11.4 years (IQR 9.0-15.0). Three intensification questions analyzed separately: ADT use, neoadjuvant ADT prolongation, adjuvant ADT prolongation.

Localized prostate cancer treated with definitive radiotherapy, stratified by NCCN prognostic risk group. The RT ± ADT comparison ran 2,557 control vs 2,579 experimental (NCCN high 32.6% vs 32.8%, intermediate 47.6% vs 48.7%); the adjuvant-prolongation comparison was high-risk enriched at 71.5% vs 71.1% NCCN high across 1,900 vs 1,874 pts.

Dose was analyzed as a binary ≥74 Gy vs <74 Gy split, with the companion HEAT analysis using 64 to <74 Gy vs ≥74 Gy and escalation up to 79.2 Gy. Brachytherapy boost is discussed as an escalation route alongside external-beam dose.

ADT addition improved MFS HR 0.83 (0.77-0.89) and OS HR 0.86 (0.80-0.92). Adjuvant prolongation improved MFS HR 0.84 (0.78-0.91) and OS HR 0.85 (0.78-0.94); neoadjuvant prolongation did neither (MFS HR 0.95, OS HR 0.95). 10-yr MFS 61% (59-63) with ADT vs 52% (50-54) without; 10-yr OS 65% (63-67) vs 57% (55-59).

InterventionIntermediate riskHigh risk
ADT addition18.08.4
Adjuvant ADT prolongation16.110.4

The 2022 HEAT network meta-analysis (13 trials, 11,862 pts) found dose escalation improved biochemical RFS but not MFS or OS, and named high-dose RT plus long-term ADT the best strategy. PROG 05/09 and GETUG-18 are invoked to explain the gap: a 21% 5-year biochemical benefit in low risk where metastasis is rare, versus 3% in high risk where it is not.

localized NCCN intermediate- and high-risk prostate cancer treated with definitive external-beam radiotherapy over a long follow-up era
Does not represent node-positive, metastatic, or post-prostatectomy salvage populations, all of which sit outside the pooled trials.

The pooled trials span 30+ years of practice, so the RT technique behind the <74 Gy stratum is not the technique a reader delivers today. The stated optimal durations (closer to 12 months high risk, 24+ months very high risk) come from DHARMA, accepted but unpublished, so that specific number is not yet auditable.

The framing claim is that dose escalation and ADT are not interchangeable levers: escalation buys biochemical control, ADT buys metastasis-free and overall survival, and the two do not substitute. The dogma that dose escalation obviates ADT is named as widely repeated and never demonstrated.

IPD meta-analysis of randomised trials, large N, long f/u. Reinforces ADT intensification over dose escalation; no new randomisation, and duration guidance rests on unpublished DHARMA.

📚 Sources · 📄 1 paper
📄 PAPER · UroToday
ASTRO 2025: Quantifying the Benefits of Adding Androgen Deprivation Therapy versus Dose-Escalation for Prostate Cancer
Abstract
Prostate Cancer, Adding Androgen Deprivation Therapy versus Dose-Escalation for Prostate Cancer, reatment intensification strategies with radiotherapy.
📝 https://www.urotoday.com/conference-highlights/astro-2025/astro-2025-prostate-cancer/163446-astro-2025-quantifying-the-benefits-of-adding-androgen-deprivation-therapy-versus-dose-escalation-for-prostate-cancer.html
Challenges SOC

POSEIDON

ForPost-prostatectomy biochemical recurrence, PET-negative, pre-PORT PSA the gating variable

Overall survival

HR 0·87

95% CI 0·76–1·01, p=0·06, not met

TL;DROS HR 0·87 (0·76–1·01), p=0·06 for adding hormone therapy to PORT; benefit only above pre-PORT PSA 0·5 ng/mL.

Why it mattersRadiation oncology

The gate is pre-PORT PSA, not risk features. Below 0·5 ng/mL point estimates favour PORT alone (HR 1·14 at ≤0·20); above it, HR 0·72 and 0·69 with NNT 22 and 12. Long-term HT only separates on spline at PSA ≥1·6 ng/mL, above what early salvage practice sees.

Monday clinic

In PET-negative post-prostatectomy biochemical recurrence referred at PSA 0·2 to 0·5 ng/mL, this questions adding hormone therapy to prostate-bed radiotherapy; it does not address PSMA-PET-positive nodal recurrence or pts already above 0·5 ng/mL, where the survival signal sits.

The longer read
13 details

IPD meta-analysis of randomised phase 3 trials of PORT with or without hormone therapy, MARCAP consortium, PROSPERO CRD42019134376. One-stage framework, univariable Cox stratified by trial, intention-to-treat. Six randomised comparisons, 6057 pts, median follow-up 0 years.

Post-radical-prostatectomy pts receiving prostate-bed radiotherapy, adjuvant or salvage. Median pre-PORT PSA 0·3 ng/mL overall (0·5 in the long-term cohort). Positive margins in 57–60%, Gleason 7 in about two-thirds, seminal vesicle invasion 16–17%. Race and ethnicity data were not available.

Short-term arm was 4–6 months, predominantly GnRH agonist. Long-term was 24 months, GnRH agonist in 425 (86%) of 492 RADICALS three-way pts, with RTOG 9601 contributing bicalutamide monotherapy rather than castration.

PORT to the prostate bed with or without pelvic nodes, per each contributing trial. Dose, fractionation and nodal-volume detail are not reported in the source text, so the RT technique is not standardised across the six randomisations.

Primary: overall survival. Secondary MFS, event-free survival, biochemical recurrence (Fine–Gray). Prespecified interaction testing on pre-PORT PSA and hormone therapy duration, plus 10-year restricted mean survival time and NNT.

The primary endpoint was not met. The signal sits entirely in the PSA interaction and in MFS, both shown in the detail tables.

Pre-PORT PSA (ng/mL)HR (95% CI)p
≤0·201·14 (0·83–1·57)0·43
0·21–0·500·94 (0·74–1·19)0·70
0·51–1·000·72 (0·54–0·96)0·02
>1·000·69 (0·48–0·98)0·03
ComparisonOS HR (95% CI)MFS HR (95% CI)
Short-term (4–6 mo) added to PORT0·93 (0·77–1·11)0·82 (0·71–0·95)
Long-term (24 mo) added to PORT0·79 (0·63–1·00)0·74 (0·60–0·91)
Prolong short to long0·89 (0·68–1·16)0·76 (0·61–0·95)

RTOG 9601 remains the only contributing trial to show an OS benefit, and it enrolled late salvage at higher PSA with bicalutamide, exactly the high-PSA stratum where benefit persists here. The contrast with intact-prostate radiotherapy, where the same consortium's 2022 Lancet Oncology analysis found an OS benefit for added ADT, is the point: the postoperative setting does not inherit it.

post-prostatectomy pts receiving prostate-bed radiotherapy for biochemical recurrence with conventionally staged, PET-negative disease
Does not represent PSMA-PET-positive nodal or metastatic recurrence, Decipher-selected pts, or intact-prostate definitive radiotherapy.

The short-term and long-term comparisons draw on different trial populations, and the long-term cohort carried higher PSA and worse pathology, so the duration read is not a clean randomised contrast outside the 1523-pt RADICALS exploratory analysis. Spline thresholds of 1·6 and 2·0 ng/mL sit at the sparse tail of a cohort with median PSA 0·3.

MFS improved while OS did not, and the authors show the MFS effect never clears the ICECaP 0·81 threshold, so the divergence is not simply immature follow-up. What the analysis cannot settle is whether hormone therapy is inert at low PSA or whether its cancer-specific benefit is cancelled by other-cause mortality in pts with indolent disease.

IPD meta-analysis of six randomised trials, prespecified PSA interaction, 9-yr follow-up. Contradicts routine hormone therapy with PORT at low PSA. Duration contrast is exploratory.

  • Biomarker to identify who benefits from hormone therapy with PORT
  • Does hormone therapy benefit persist in PSMA-PET-staged salvage
  • Why MFS gain does not translate to overall survival
📚 Sources · 📄 2 papers
📄 PAPER Kishan, Amar U; Sun, Yilun; Parker, Christopher C et al. · The Lancet (2026-03)
Hormone therapy use and duration with postoperative radiotherapy for recurrent prostate cancer: an individual patient data meta-analysis
📄 PAPER · The ASCO Post
For Most Men With Prostate Cancer, Hormone Therapy With Postprostatectomy Radiotherapy Confers No Survival Benefit
Abstract
Adding hormone therapy to postprostatectomy radiotherapy may provide little survival benefit for most men with prostate cancer, especially those with very low prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels be...
📝 https://ascopost.com/issues/march-25-2026/for-most-men-with-prostate-cancer-hormone-therapy-with-postprostatectomy-radiotherapy-confers-no-survival-benefit/
Confirmatory

HYDRA

ForLocalised prostate cancer, definitive external-beam RT

TL;DRNo PFS difference for either isodose (HR 0.92) or dose-escalated MHFRT (HR 0.94), but escalation raises late G2+ GI (OR 1.48).

Why it mattersRadiation oncology

The split that matters is isodose vs dose-escalated MHFRT, not hypofractionation itself: escalation adds no PFS (HR 0.94, 0.82-1.09) and costs bowel on both physician grading (OR 1.48) and patient report (OR 1.68). GU was unchanged in both strata. The schedule decision lands on 60 Gy in 20 fractions.

Monday clinic

In a man with localised prostate cancer starting definitive prostate-only EBRT, this supports an isodose moderately hypofractionated schedule over a dose-escalated one; it does not extend to five-fraction ultrahypofractionation, post-prostatectomy salvage, or whole-pelvis treatment.

The longer read
7 details 5 trials watching

IPD meta-analysis of randomised phase 3 CFRT vs MHFRT trials via the MARCAP consortium. Searches on Dec 15, 2023 and re-run Jan 8, 2025 screened 1696 records down to 7 eligible trials. Three separate analyses: efficacy, physician-scored late toxicity, and patient-reported outcomes.

Localised prostate cancer on trials that published patient-level efficacy AND late toxicity data. 3454 pts across three isodose trials, 2426 pts across four dose-escalated trials. Trials whose CFRT arm fell below modern dose were excluded.

The intervention split is the whole point: isodose MHFRT (same equivalent dose in fewer fractions, eg 60 Gy in 20 fractions) versus dose-escalated MHFRT. The CFRT comparator had to deliver ≥70 Gy in 2 Gy equivalents.

Primary (efficacy): progression-free survival. Co-primary toxicity endpoints: late grade 2 or higher GU and GI. Co-primary PRO endpoints: clinically-significant decrement in urinary or bowel quality of life.

The GI signal sits entirely in the dose-escalated stratum and shows up on both physician grading and patient report; the isodose stratum carries neither. GU odds ran above 1 in both comparisons with intervals crossing unity.

CHHiP and PROFIT established 60 Gy in 20 fractions as non-inferior to conventional fractionation. The escalated schedules were built on the premise that a higher equivalent dose in fewer fractions would improve control; pooled here that premise fails on PFS while adding bowel toxicity.

localised prostate cancer treated with definitive external-beam RT on randomised trials against modern-dose CFRT
Does not represent five-fraction ultrahypofractionation, post-prostatectomy salvage, or whole-pelvis nodal treatment, none of which were tested.

Toxicity scales and PRO instruments were not uniform across the seven trials, and the dose-escalated stratum pools four schedules that are not interchangeable, so the OR describes escalation as a class, not one regimen. Follow-up also differs between strata (5.4 vs 7.1 yrs).

With efficacy answered as a null, the schedule decision turns entirely on toxicity, and the toxicity difference runs one way. Escalating per-fraction dose beyond isodose buys no measurable PFS while adding bowel morbidity that pts themselves report, which leaves little argument for an escalated MHFRT schedule in intact localised disease.

Pooled IPD from seven randomised phase 3 trials, aligned with existing moderate-hypofractionation practice; refines which regimen rather than establishing a new modality or population.

📚 Sources · 📄 1 paper
📄 PAPER Kishan; Sun; Tree et al. · The Lancet. Oncology (2025-04)
Hypofractionated radiotherapy for prostate cancer (HYDRA): an individual patient data meta-analysis of randomised trials in the MARCAP consortium.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Trials comparing moderately hypofractionated radiotherapy (MHFRT) to conventionally-fractionated radiotherapy (CFRT) for prostate cancer have varied considerably in intent (non-inferiority vs superiority) and MHFRT dose. We compare the efficacy and toxicity profiles of isodose MHFRT and dose-escalated MHFRT.<br/><br/>METHODS: This was an individual patient data meta-analysis that identified randomised phase 3 trials of CFRT versus MHFRT that had published individual patient-level data on efficacy and late toxicity. A systematic literature search using MEDLINE, Embase, trial registries, the Web of Science, Scopus, and relevant conference proceedings was initially conducted on Dec 15, 2023, and was re-conducted on Jan 8, 2025. Trials that did not publish efficacy data, did not publish late toxicity data, or did not use modern dose radiotherapy (&#x2265;70 Gy in 2 Gy equivalents) in the CFRT group were excluded. Individual patient data were provided to MARCAP by study investigators. Three separate meta-analyses were designed to compare efficacy (primary endpoint was progression-free survival), physician-scored late toxicity (co-primary endpoints were late grade 2 or higher genitourinary and late grade 2 or higher gastrointestinal toxic effects), and patient-reported outcomes (co-primary endpoints were clinically-significant decrements in patient-reported urinary or bowel quality of life) between patients receiving CFRT versus MHFRT.<br/><br/>FINDINGS: We identified 1696 records for review. Seven phase 3 trials comparing MHFRT with CFRT were eligible for inclusion in our analysis. Individual patient data were obtained from these seven studies (3454 patients from three trials comparing CFRT with isodose MHFRT and 2426 patients from four trials comparing CFRT with dose-escalated MHFRT). At a median follow-up of 5&#xb7;4 years (IQR 4&#xb7;6-7&#xb7;2) for isodose MHFRT and 7&#xb7;1 years (5&#xb7;7-8&#xb7;4) for dose-escalated MHFRT, no differences in progression-free survival were detected (hazard ratio 0&#xb7;92, 95% CI 0&#xb7;81-1&#xb7;05; p=0&#xb7;21 and 0&#xb7;94, 0&#xb7;82-1&#xb7;09; p=0&#xb7;43 respectively). No increased odds of grade 2 or higher genitourinary toxic effects were identified for either isodose (odds ratio [OR] 1&#xb7;16, 95 CI% 0&#xb7;86-1&#xb7;57; p=0&#xb7;32) or dose-escalated MHFRT (1&#xb7;20, 0&#xb7;95-1&#xb7;51; p=0&#xb7;13). The odds of grade 2 or higher gastrointestinal toxic effects were significantly higher with dose-escalated (OR 1&#xb7;48, 95% CI 1&#xb7;14-1&#xb7;92; p=0&#xb7;0035) but not isodose MHFRT (1&#xb7;30, 0&#xb7;59-2&#xb7;87; p=0&#xb7;51). Isodose MHFRT was not found to show different odds of urinary quality-of-life decrement (OR 1&#xb7;03, 95% CI 0&#xb7;51-2&#xb7;09; p=0&#xb7;93) or bowel quality-of-life decrement (0&#xb7;76, 0&#xb7;40-1&#xb7;43; p=0&#xb7;39). Dose-escalated MHFRT was associated with greater odds of bowel quality-of-life decrement (OR 1&#xb7;68, 95% CI 1&#xb7;07-2&#xb7;61; p=0&#xb7;023), but no evidence of greater urinary quality-of-life decrement was found (1&#xb7;57, 0&#xb7;87-2&#xb7;85; p=0&#xb7;13).<br/><br/>INTERPRETATION: Isodose MHFRT and dose-escalated MHFRT both have similar efficacy compared with CFRT, but dose-escalated MHFRT is associated with higher physician-scored and patient-reported bowel toxicity. Isodose regimens, eg, 60 Gy in 20 fractions, should be the standard MHFRT regimen for localised prostate cancer.<br/><br/>FUNDING: None.
Confirmatory

WOLVERINE

ForOligometastatic prostate cancer, up to 5 mets, mostly castration-sensitive

TL;DRIPD meta-analysis of 6 randomised phase 2 trials, 472 pts: MDT improved PFS (HR 0.44, 0.35-0.56), OS non-significant (HR 0.63, 0.39-1.00, p=0.051).

Surfaced from a review's discussed trials

Why it mattersRadiation oncology

The endpoint that survives every sensitivity cut is PFS (HR 0.44, and 0.46 excluding the observation-SOC trials), while OS stops at HR 0.63 (0.39-1.00, p=0.051). CRFS 0.58 in CSPC is the more decision-relevant signal, since delaying castration resistance is what MDT is being asked to buy. Nothing here resolves dose, target, or which oligo burden benefits.

Monday clinic

In castration-sensitive oligometastatic prostate cancer with up to five lesions and a treated primary, this supports adding MDT for progression-free and castration resistance-free benefit; it does not establish an OS benefit, and the CRPC-only and untreated-primary populations are thinly represented.

The longer read
10 details 5 trials watching

Systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis (X-MET collaboration), PROSPERO CRD42023479078. Searched Embase, PubMed, CENTRAL, MEDLINE and ClinicalTrials.gov to Nov 3 2023, updated May 4 2025; dual independent screening in Covidence, Cochrane RoB 2.0. Of 2975 studies screened, 7 phase 2 trials randomising 574 men were included.

Published randomised prospective trials in oligometastatic (up to five metastases) prostate cancer with data sufficient for PFS and OS. Most patients were castration-sensitive (n=375, 65%); ARTO enrolled entirely CRPC and the two EXTEND baskets a CRPC subset. The primary tumour had received prior definitive local therapy in 491 patients (85.5%), required in every trial except the EXTEND baskets and ARTO.

Co-primary: progression-free survival and overall survival. Secondary: radiographic PFS and castration resistance-free survival. Primary analysis restricted to the six trials randomising MDT plus SOC versus SOC, with both a random-effects trial-level analysis and a patient-level analysis stratified by trial.

Effect sizes are in the endpoint table. Trial- and patient-level estimates agreed closely on all four endpoints, and OS showed HR<1 in every individual trial without reaching significance in aggregate.

The constituent trials are the ones that currently drive MDT practice: STOMP and ORIOLE (small randomised phase 2, ADT-free intervals and progression), ARTO (MDT added to abiraterone in CRPC), the two EXTEND hormone baskets, and the prostate subgroup of SABR-COMET (16 men). Pooling them raises precision on PFS but cannot add the phase 3 evidence none of them supply, and the ongoing randomised phase 3 programmes remain the gate.

men with up to five metastases, largely castration-sensitive, with a previously treated primary
Does not represent higher-volume metastatic disease, unselected CRPC, or patients whose primary was never definitively treated.

The SOC arm was not one thing: observation in all or part of STOMP, ORIOLE and COMET-SABR, and second-generation ARPI use differed between arms (59.8%, n=134 in SOC vs 50.4%, n=125 in MDT), which cuts against MDT rather than for it. Four abstract-only randomised primary analyses could not supply IPD and were excluded, and the prostate contribution from SABR-COMET is 16 men.

PFS is where the estimate is tight and consistent; OS is where the question stays open, and at p=0.051 the honest read is an underpowered signal, not a negative result. The endpoint most likely to matter to practice is CRFS (HR 0.58) in castration-sensitive disease, because deferring castration resistance is the outcome MDT is being asked to deliver.

Pools only phase 2 trials with non-blinded randomisation and mixed SOC; co-primary OS missed (p=0.051). Supports existing MDT practice rather than establishing level 1 evidence.

📚 Sources · 📄 1 paper
📄 PAPER Tang; Sherry; Hwang et al. · The Lancet. Oncology (2026-02)
Metastasis-directed therapy and standard of care versus standard of care for oligometastatic prostate cancer (WOLVERINE): a systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis from the X-MET collaboration.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Oligometastatic disease represents the proximal end of a metastatic spectrum. Metastasis-directed therapy (MDT) is increasingly used to treat oligometastatic disease despite the absence of level 1 evidence. We amalgamated individual patient data across trials to evaluate the effectiveness of MDT for oligometastatic prostate cancer.<br/><br/>METHODS: We conducted a systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis. We systematically searched Embase, PubMed, CENTRAL, MEDLINE, and ClinicalTrials.gov to identify randomised trials of MDT enrolling patients with oligometastatic prostate cancer. Inclusion criteria were published randomised prospective trials enrolling patients with oligometastatic (up to five metastases) prostate cancer, in which investigators recorded sufficient data to evaluate progression-free survival and overall survival. This systematic review was conducted from database creation to Nov 3, 2023, and was updated on May 4, 2025. Data appraisal was conducted using Covidence with two investigators (CT and ADS) performing independent screens. Studies were evaluated using the Cochrane Collaboration's risk-of-bias assessment (version 2.0). Individual patient data were provided by investigators. Coprimary endpoints were progression-free survival and overall survival. Secondary endpoints were radiographic progression-free survival and castration resistance-free survival. The primary analysis was conducted in the subset of studies in which patients were randomly assigned to MDT plus standard of care (SOC) versus SOC. The primary analysis included a trial-level analysis using a random effects model and a patient-level analysis stratifying by trial. This meta-analysis is registered with PROSPERO (CRD42023479078).<br/><br/>FINDINGS: Of 2975 studies identified for screening, seven phase 2 studies randomly assigning 574 men were included. Six trials randomly assigning 472 patients to MDT plus SOC (n=248) versus SOC (n=224) were used to evaluate MDT and had a median follow-up time of 40&#xb7;7 months (IQR 25&#xb7;6-53&#xb7;7). MDT was associated with improved progression-free survival (trial-level hazard ratio [HR] 0&#xb7;44, [95% CI 0&#xb7;35-0&#xb7;56], p<0&#xb7;0001; patient-level HR 0&#xb7;45 [0&#xb7;35-0&#xb7;57], p<0&#xb7;0001), radiographic progression-free survival (trial-level HR 0&#xb7;60 [0&#xb7;42-0&#xb7;85], p=0&#xb7;0039; patient-level HR 0&#xb7;59 [0&#xb7;46-0&#xb7;76], p<0&#xb7;0001), and castration resistance-free survival (trial-level HR 0&#xb7;58 [95% CI 0&#xb7;37-0&#xb7;92], p=0&#xb7;019; patient-level HR 0&#xb7;58 [95% CI 0&#xb7;37-0&#xb7;91], p=0&#xb7;017). The association between MDT and overall survival showed an HR of 0&#xb7;63 (95% CI 0&#xb7;39-1&#xb7;00, p=0&#xb7;051) in trial-level analyses and 0&#xb7;64 (95% CI 0&#xb7;40-1&#xb7;01, p=0&#xb7;057) in patient-level analyses.<br/><br/>INTERPRETATION: WOLVERINE showed a benefit with MDT for oligometastatic prostate cancer in progression-free survival, radiological progression-free survival, and castration resistance-free survival. Overall survival benefit was not significant and further research is needed.<br/><br/>FUNDING: Philanthropic gift and National Cancer Institute.
📝 Auto-resolved from a review's discussed trials (WOLVERINE).
Challenges SOC

FIRESTORM

ForHigh-risk meningioma (WHO gr 2 post-STR, recurrent gr 2, any gr 3), postop RT

Progression-free survival surrogate

HR 0.40

95% CI 0.24-0.69, P = .001 (MVA); IPTW HR 0.45 (0.24-0.83)

TL;DR5-yr PFS 65.8% vs 38.8% with dose-escalated postop RT (BED ≥79.2 Gy) in high-risk meningioma; MVA HR 0.40.

Why it mattersRadiation oncology

The benefit survives the obvious confounders: excluding the 35 single-fraction SRS cases from SD-RT, DE-RT still gave 5-yr PFS 65.8% vs 41.7% (HR 0.56, 0.36-0.86), and photon-alone escalation matched carbon on PFS (68.3% vs 61.1%) with 0% grade ≥3 radionecrosis. That makes 66-70 Gy conventionally fractionated photons the practical escalation route, not particle referral.

Monday clinic

In a subtotally resected WHO grade 2 or any grade 3 meningioma being planned for postoperative RT, this supports considering escalation beyond 60 Gy/30 fx rather than defaulting to it; it does not speak to gross-totally resected grade 1 disease.

The longer read
14 details

Individual patient-level meta-analysis pooling 248 patients from 7 international institutions, all retrospective except one prospective trial. Median follow-up 67.1 months (range 2.13-178). PFS was the primary outcome, analyzed by Kaplan-Meier, Cox MVA, and IPTW propensity weighting.

High-risk meningioma per RTOG 0539: newly diagnosed WHO grade 2 after STR/biopsy, any recurrent grade 2, or any grade 3. 188 (75.8%) were grade 2, 103 (41.5%) recurrent, and 182 (75.2%) had Simpson grade 4/STR. Median age 60; 55 (22.2%) had prior RT.

DE-RT was defined by biologically effective dose ≥79.2 Gy (equivalent to 66 Gy in 33 fractions) or receipt of a carbon-ion boost; anything below that threshold counted as SD-RT. Photon DE-RT used a sequential or simultaneous integrated boost with a 0.5 to 2 mm PTV margin, versus 1-2 cm CTV margins in the SD-RT arm. Carbon DE-RT boosted 16 Gy/8 fx after 50 Gy/25 fx photons with a 6 mm CTV margin.

Whole-cohort 3- and 5-yr PFS were 62.8% and 45.0%. DE-RT improved 3-yr (86.4% vs 55.6%) and 5-yr PFS (65.8% vs 38.8%), P = .0022, holding on stratified Cox by grade (HR 0.40, 0.22-0.73) and after IPTW (3-yr 84.7% vs 55.8%). OS was not improved on MVA or IPTW.

Subgroup3-yr PFS DE-RT vs SD-RT5-yr PFS DE-RT vs SD-RTMVA HR (95% CI)P
Simpson 1-387.5% vs 55.9%70.0% vs 40.0%0.31 (0.08-1.14).08
Simpson 4-586.3% vs 55.4%63.3% vs 38.4%0.55 (0.36-0.84).006
CohortAny-grade RNGrade ≥3 RN
DE-RT overall20 of 59 (33.9%)3 of 59 (5.1%)
DE-RT mixed carbon/photon15 of 33 (45%)3 of 33 (9.1%)
DE-RT photon-alone5 of 26 (19.2%)0%
SD-RT25 of 189 (13.2%)6 of 189 (3.2%)

Any-grade radionecrosis was 33.9% with DE-RT vs 13.2% with SD-RT (P = .001), but grade ≥3 RN did not differ (5.1% vs 3.2%, P = .47). All 3 grade ≥3 events in the DE-RT arm occurred in the mixed carbon-photon cohort; the photon-alone DE-RT cohort had none, and its any-grade RN rate was not significantly higher than SD-RT (P = .41). One grade 5 event occurred in each arm.

Published series anchored on RTOG 0539 report 5-yr PFS of roughly 40% to 60% with 60 Gy/30 fx, which is what the SD-RT arm reproduces (45.0% overall). The escalation signal draws on MARCIE (carbon boost) and the Zeng et al. photon series, both contributors to this pool, so the comparison is partly internal rather than independent.

high-risk meningioma per RTOG 0539 receiving postoperative RT, predominantly WHO grade 2 after subtotal resection
Does not represent WHO grade 1 disease, gross-totally resected grade 2 without other risk features, or patients managed with surveillance alone.

DE-RT was delivered at only 2 of 7 institutions, one carbon-only and one photon-only, so treatment arm is nearly collinear with center, and unmeasured practice differences (DOTATATE PET planning, response assessment, supportive care) travel with it. Molecular classification was unavailable, and P values were not adjusted for multiple testing across the subgroup analyses.

The Simpson 1-3 subgroup showed absolute separation as large as Simpson 4-5 (5-yr PFS 70.0% vs 40.0%) without reaching significance (P = .08 on MVA), which the authors attribute to a smaller GTR subset and fewer events rather than an absent effect. Whether escalation belongs in fully resected disease is the open question, and the PFS-only benefit means the case rests on avoiding local progression and its neurologic morbidity, not on survival.

Retrospective IPD pooling, DE-RT confined to 2 centers, no randomization; IPTW cannot remove selection. Direction consistent across every sensitivity analysis, but prospective randomization still needed.

  • Benefit of dose escalation after gross total resection
  • Whether molecular subgroups predict DE-RT benefit
  • Prospective randomized confirmation of the PFS signal
📚 Sources · 📄 1 paper
📄 PAPER Singh, Raj; Koempel, Andrew; French, Beck et al. · International Journal of Radiation Oncology*Biology*Physics (2026-07)
Improved Progression-Free Survival Following Dose-Escalated Versus Standard-Dose Postoperative Radiation Therapy for High-Risk Meningiomas: An International Multicenter Individual Patient–Level Meta-Analysis (FIRESTORM)
Abstract
PURPOSE: We performed an individual patient-level meta-analysis of high-risk meningiomas to compare the outcomes of dose-escalated radiation therapy (DE-RT) versus standard-dose postoperative radiation therapy (SD-RT).<br/><br/>METHODS AND MATERIALS: A total of 7 institutions participated. DE-RT was defined as treatment with a biologically effective dose of &#x2265;79.2 Gy (equivalent of 66 Gy in 33 fractions). We compared progression-free survival (PFS) with DE-RT versus SD-RT via Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank t tests, a Cox proportional hazards multivariable model, and propensity score analyses with inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW). We also compared incidences of central nervous system radionecrosis (RN) with DE-RT versus SD-RT.<br/><br/>RESULTS: The analysis included 248 patients with high-risk meningioma (59 received DE-RT and 189 received SD-RT). One hundred and eighty-eight cases (75.8%) were World Health Organization grade 2, and 103 cases (41.5%) were recurrent meningiomas. Extent of resection was subtotal resection in 182 of 248 (75.2%). Three- and 5-year PFS rates were 62.8% (95% CI, 55.8%-69.0%) and 45.0% (95% CI, 37.3%-52.3%), respectively. DE-RT was associated with superior PFS rates (P = .0022), with 3-year (86.4% vs 55.6%) and 5-year (65.8% vs 38.8%) PFS rates favoring DE-RT. On multivariable analysis, DE-RT was associated with superior PFS (hazard ratio, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.24-0.69; P = .001). On IPTW, DE-RT continued to be associated with superior PFS (hazard ratio, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.24-0.83; P = .01). A greater incidence of any grade RN was observed following DE-RT (20 of 59; 33.9%) versus SD-RT (25 of 189; 13.2%) (P = .001) but with similar grade 3 or greater RN events (DE-RT 5.1% vs SD-RT 3.2%).<br/><br/>CONCLUSIONS: DE-RT resulted in superior PFS for patients with high-risk meningiomas over SD-RT without an increase in severe toxicities.
Early signal

Single-fraction SABR pooled analysis, 1687 pts

ForPrimary NSCLC or pulmonary oligomets selected for single-fraction SABR

TL;DRLocal control 90-93% at 2yr and G3+ AEs 2.9% across 1687 single-fraction SABR pts at 3 centres.

Why it mattersRadiation oncology

The oligomet read is the gap between local control and PFS: 90-93% LC at 2yr against median PFS 11 mo, so distant failure, not the treated lesion, drives the course. For primary NSCLC the same LC sits with median PFS 30 mo, which is the split that should decide whether one-visit ablation is offered as definitive treatment or as a break from systemic therapy.

Monday clinic

In early-stage primary NSCLC where visit burden drives the fractionation choice, this supports single fraction as a durable local option (LC 90-93% at 2yr, G3+ 2.9%); tumour location and operability are not reported, so who it represents stays open.

The longer read
Single-fraction SABR pooled analysis, 1687 pts
CohortnMedian PFSMedian OS
Primary NSCLC120030 mo3.5 yrs
Pulmonary oligometastases48711 mo>4 yrs
+2 more figures
Single-fraction SABR pooled analysis, 1687 pts
EndpointPrimary NSCLCOligometastases
1yr OS84% (95% CI 82, 86)90% (95% CI 86, 92)
2yr OS67% (95% CI 64, 69)75% (95% CI 71, 79)
Median OS40 mo (36, 43)51 mo (42, 58)
Single-fraction SABR pooled analysis, 1687 pts
Adverse event (n=789)n (%)
Any AE215 (27%)
Grade 2+124 (15.7%)
Grade 3+23 (2.9%)
Chest wall pain114 (14%)
Pneumonitis52 (7%)
Fatigue29 (4%)
Dyspnea13 (2%)
6 details

Pooled analysis of 1687 pts treated with single-fraction SABR at three centres (Peter MacCallum, Cleveland Clinic, Roswell Park): 1200 primary NSCLC and 487 pulmonary oligometastases. Whether the contributing cohorts were prospective or retrospective is not stated in source.

Eligibility, operability, tumour size and central vs peripheral location are not reported in source. Cohort mix differs sharply by centre: Roswell Park supplied 401 of the NSCLC pts but only 34 oligomet pts, while Peter Mac supplied 283 of 487 oligomet pts.

Single fraction throughout, but the prescribed dose is not reported in source. Without it the outcome cannot be mapped onto a schedule a reader could write, which is the one parameter that would carry this into planning.

No primary endpoint is stated in the source. Reported outcomes are local control, freedom from local failure, PFS, OS and adverse events, each descriptive rather than tested against a comparator.

Local control 90-93% at 2 years across both cohorts, with isolated local or locoregional failure described as very uncommon. Survival separates by cohort while local outcome does not.

CentrePrimary NSCLCPulmonary oligomets
Cleveland Clinic576170
Peter MacCallum223283
Roswell Park40134

AE reporting covers 789 primary NSCLC pts only, with no Roswell Park data and no oligometastasis toxicity in source. Within that subset chest wall pain and pneumonitis dominate and G3+ events stay at 2.9%.

Single-fraction SABR already carries randomised support: RTOG 0915 in peripheral early-stage NSCLC and SAFRON II in pulmonary oligometastases, both randomised single against multi-fraction schedules. This series adds scale and follow-up at three high-volume centres, which is what a non-randomised dataset can contribute, and no comparator.

pts selected for single-fraction SABR to a primary NSCLC or a pulmonary oligometastasis at three high-volume centres
Does not represent pts treated with multi-fraction schedules, nor any population defined by operability or tumour location, neither of which the source reports.

Toxicity rests on 789 of 1687 pts, with one centre absent from the AE table and the oligometastatic cohort not represented in it at all. Centre mix is uneven, so pooled rates carry each centre's own selection rather than a common one.

The question the thread raises, whether one-stop SABR should be used more often, is not the question this dataset answers. What it does show is that local control near 90-93% and G3+ toxicity near 3% hold at scale outside a protocol, which is the usual worry about a schedule with no second chance. The unreported dose sits between that reassurance and a prescription.

Pooled uncontrolled series across three centres, no multi-fraction comparator and no stated design; dose unreported, so outcomes cannot be tied to a prescription.

  • Whether single-fraction outcomes hold for central tumours
  • Durability of single-fraction ablation for pulmonary oligometastases beyond first progression
  • Toxicity of single-fraction SABR in the oligometastatic cohort
📚 Sources · 🐦 1 tweet
Challenges SOC

Multinational HCC EBRT IPD Cohort

ForVery early / early-stage HCC (BCLC-0 or A), incl. treatment-naive

TL;DRMedian OS 6.8y BCLC-0 and 4.6y BCLC-A across 4,913 EBRT-treated HCC pts, comparable to resection and ablation.

Why it mattersRadiation oncology

The modifiable RT variable in the Cox model is ablative dose, which was associated with reduced mortality, so the transferable read is that dose, not simply delivering EBRT, tracks with the outcome. Fractionation and dose thresholds are not given in the abstract. This is the citation for putting EBRT on the BCLC-0/A allocation discussion.

Monday clinic

In BCLC-0 or A HCC where resection, transplant, or ablation is not feasible or is declined, this supports discussing ablative-dose EBRT as a locoregional option; it does not establish EBRT over resection or ablation in a pt eligible for either.

The longer read
9 details 2 trials watching

Systematic review of EBRT publications meeting prespecified HCC technical standards (search date December 15, 2022), with corresponding authors invited to contribute individual patient data. Kaplan-Meier OS and RMST stratified by BCLC stage and treatment status; random-effects Cox for covariates. No comparator arm.

4,913 pts treated with EBRT, median follow-up 5.0 years, multinational. Analyses split by BCLC stage and by treatment-naive vs treatment-experienced; the headline read sits in BCLC-0 and BCLC-A.

EBRT delivered per each contributing series, gated by the prespecified technical standards rather than one protocol. Ablative dose was associated with a reduced risk of death; specific dose levels, fractionation, and modality mix are not given in the source abstract.

Overall survival by Kaplan-Meier and restricted mean survival time, stratified by BCLC stage and treatment status. Covariate associations from multivariable random-effects Cox modeling.

Median OS 6.8 y (95% CI 5.7-8.7) for BCLC-0 and 4.6 y (95% CI 4.1-5.1) for BCLC-A. Treatment-naive: not reached (95% CI 8.6-NR) for BCLC-0, 5.4 y (95% CI 4.5-6.7) for BCLC-A.

CohortBCLC-0BCLC-A
All pts6.8 y (95% CI 5.7-8.7)4.6 y (95% CI 4.1-5.1)
Treatment-naiveNR (95% CI 8.6-NR)5.4 y (95% CI 4.5-6.7)

The authors frame these medians as comparable with resection, thermal ablation, and other ablative locoregional therapies, a cross-study benchmark rather than a randomised comparison. EBRT's exclusion from BCLC has rested on the absence of OS evidence, which is the gap this cohort is built to fill.

BCLC-0 and BCLC-A HCC treated with EBRT at centers publishing outcomes, including treatment-naive pts
Does not represent pts randomised against resection or ablation, nor advanced-stage disease where the cohort's own model shows worse survival.

IPD came only from authors who published and agreed to share, so contributing centers are self-selected and unmeasured selection at the patient level (who was routed to EBRT rather than resection) is unrecoverable. More recent year of treatment predicting survival mixes technique gains with stage migration and modern systemic salvage over a multi-decade accrual window.

The claim is an allocation claim, not an efficacy claim: EBRT belongs in the BCLC decision tree as an option to be weighed. It does not settle sequencing against ablation in a pt eligible for both, and the ablative-dose signal makes the quality of the RT, not its mere availability, the operative variable.

Largest EBRT IPD cohort argues for a BCLC allocation change, but it is pooled non-randomised data with no head-to-head comparator against resection or ablation.

📚 Sources · 📄 1 paper
📄 PAPER Moon; Yanagihara; Dawson et al. · Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology (2026-05)
Overall Survival Among Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated With External Beam Radiation Therapy: Individual Patient Data Outcomes From a Multinational Cohort.
Abstract
PURPOSE: External beam radiation therapy (EBRT) has gained delayed acceptance as a recommended first-line treatment modality for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), given limited evidence that it improves overall survival (OS). We analyzed individual patient data (IPD) from an international cohort to assess OS among patients with HCC treated with EBRT.<br/><br/>METHODS: We performed a systematic review of publications that assessed EBRT, met prespecified technical standards for HCC, and reported OS (search date December 15, 2022). Corresponding authors were invited to submit IPD for the study. We performed Kaplan-Meier survival analyses to determine OS and restricted mean survival time (RMST) stratified by Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage and treatment status (ie, treatment-na&#xef;ve and experienced). We performed random effects Cox proportional hazards modeling to assess clinical characteristics associated with OS.<br/><br/>RESULTS: Data were provided on 4,913 patients treated with EBRT with a median follow-up time of 5.0 years. The median OS was 6.8 years (95% CI, 5.7 to 8.7) for BCLC-0 and 4.6 years (95% CI, 4.1 to 5.1) for BCLC-A. Among treatment-na&#xef;ve patients, the median OS was not reached (95% CI, 8.6 to not reached) for BCLC-0 and was 5.4 years (95% CI, 4.5 to 6.7) for BCLC-A. In multivariable models, more advanced BCLC stage, higher tumor burden, worse performance status, and Child-Pugh class B or C were associated with a higher risk of mortality. Ablative radiation dose and more recent year of treatment were associated with a reduced risk of death.<br/><br/>CONCLUSION: To our knowledge, this study represents the largest multinational cohort of patients with HCC treated with EBRT. OS outcomes with EBRT for very early- and early-stage HCC appear to be comparable with resection, thermal ablation, and other ablative locoregional therapies. These data support the inclusion of EBRT in the BCLC HCC clinical decision-making process.
📝 Moon AM, Yanagihara TK, Dawson LA, Yu JI, Lawrence TS, Kim TH, Yan M, Iwata H, Nabavizadeh N, Apisarnthanarax S, Dunne EM, Lock MI, Chuong MD, Chiang CL, Scorsetti M, Katoh N, Sioshansi S, Numata K, Liu HY, Iwamoto H, Wakatsuki M, Chen Y, Pollom EL, Gkika E, Jabbour SK, Munoz-Schuffenegger P, Dutta D, Hajj C, Ueno M, Hallemeier CL, Feldman AM, Méndèz Romero A, Tan X, Molla M, Tepper JE, Torres F, Reig M; EBRT Collaboration Group. Overall Survival Among Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated With External Beam Radiation Therapy: Individual Patient Data Outcomes From a Multinational Cohort. J Clin Oncol. 2026 May 15:JCO2502399.