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Caveats dominate

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Caveats dominate

ProtecT (secondary analysis: cribriform morphology)

ForPSA-screened clinically localized prostate cancer, GG1-2 predominant

TL;DRCribriform-negative pts (87%): radical Rx gave no significant 15yr metastasis reduction vs active monitoring; cribriform-negative GG2 matched GG1 risk.

Reported via UroToday →

Why it mattersRadiation oncology

Selection, not technique, is the RT read: cribriform-negative GG2 matched GG1 on 15yr metastasis risk and gained no significant benefit from radical treatment, so definitive RT is deferrable there. Cribriform-positive (~13%) is where local treatment changed metastasis outcomes, moving the surveillance-vs-treat decision at biopsy.

8 details

Secondary analysis of the ProtecT RCT. Cribriform status was not a randomization characteristic; biopsy slides from 712 of 1,643 randomized pts were centrally reviewed, with centralization still ongoing.

PSA-detected clinically localized prostate cancer. ~13% cribriform-positive on biopsy, 87% cribriform-negative. Gleason re-graded to 2019 ISUP from the original 2005 criteria, which did not change the result.

The radical-treatment options were surgery or EBRT with 3-6mo neoadjuvant ADT. The RT+ADT arm carried a higher cribriform prevalence, attributed to chance since cribriform was not randomized.

Primary outcome was metastases at 15yr median follow-up, analyzed by both intention-to-treat and per-protocol (accounting for crossover between assigned and received treatment).

In cribriform-negative pts (87%), early radical Rx gave no significant 15yr metastasis reduction vs active monitoring, in ITT and per-protocol. Cribriform-negative GG2 matched GG1 metastasis risk on multivariable Cox.

PSA-screened, clinically localized prostate cancer of low-to-intermediate grade
Does not represent high-grade or clinically-detected (non-screened) disease.

The cribriform-positive group carrying the clinical message is small (~13% of the 712 reviewed), and its metastasis effect size is not reported in source. The 20yr ProtecT follow-up (census just reached) is not yet available.

Post-hoc analysis of a non-randomized histologic feature; only 712 of 1,643 randomized pts had slides reviewed. Cribriform-positive effect size not reported in source.

In cribriform-negative GG2 localized prostate cancer, this supports active surveillance as reasonable (same 15yr metastasis risk as GG1); it does not extend to cribriform-positive disease, which the data marks as higher-risk.

  • Magnitude of radical-treatment benefit in cribriform-positive pts
  • Should cribriform status formally gate active surveillance eligibility
  • Does 20yr ProtecT follow-up confirm the cribriform signal
📚 Sources · 📄 1 paper
📄 PAPER · UroToday
Secondary Analysis of ProtecT Trial Evaluates Impact of Cribriform Morphology on Metastasis - Nikita Sushentsev
Abstract
UroToday - GU OncToday brings coverage of the clinically relevant content needed to stay at the forefront of the dynamic field of GU oncology and urology.
📝 https://www.urotoday.com/video-lectures/localized-prostate-cancer/video/5254-secondary-analysis-of-protect-trial-evaluates-impact-of-cribriform-morphology-on-metastasis-nikita-sushentsev.html
Caveats dominate

SUPREMO

ForPost-mastectomy breast cancer, pN0 or 1-3 positive nodes

TL;DR10yr chest-wall recurrence 1.1% vs 2.5% (HR 0.45), no DFS/OS gain, but trial prohibited RNI so tests incomplete PMRT.

Why it mattersRadiation oncology

Even with SUPREMO's truncated field (chest-wall RT alone, supraclav in just 12%), the supplement shows local recurrence still fell 4.8% to 3.3% (HR 0.51) in node-positive pts. A partial RT field still helping argues FOR nodal irradiation, not omission, in 1-3 node+ disease, so the null OS/DFS shouldn't justify omitting PMRT.

Also covered Jul 7

8 details 4 trials watching

ASO editorial (Naoum, Taghian) critically evaluating SUPREMO. SUPREMO randomized post-mastectomy pts to chest-wall irradiation vs observation; RNI was prohibited, so it tested chest-wall RT alone, not chest-wall plus nodal PMRT.

Only 25% truly node-negative; the majority had N1 (1-3 positive nodes). 65% hormone-receptor-positive, 10% triple-negative. Post-neoadjuvant pts are out of scope.

Chest-wall irradiation alone. Supraclavicular coverage reached only 12% of the PMRT arm (n=97), internal mammary RT under 2% both arms, and regional nodal irradiation was otherwise prohibited.

No DFS or OS benefit from chest-wall irradiation; the only positive signal is reduced local recurrence (see table).

EndpointCW-RTNo RTEffect
10yr chest-wall recurrence1.1%2.5%HR 0.45
LRR (supplement)3.3%4.8%HR 0.51 (0.27-0.96)

Danish and British Columbia trials, plus MA-20 and EORTC 22922, showed regional nodal RT improves LRR, DFS, and breast-cancer mortality in 1-3 node+ disease, even after ALND. SUPREMO's chest-wall-only field never tested this.

post-mastectomy breast cancer, node-negative or with 1-3 positive nodes, treated with chest-wall irradiation without full nodal RT
Does not represent post-neoadjuvant patients or those receiving full regional nodal irradiation.

Node-negative dilution (25%) may mask node-positive benefit; incomplete nodal field; TNBC (10%) underpowered with a paradoxical forest-plot direction; only 10-year follow-up for a 65% HR-positive cohort prone to late recurrence.

The editorial's read: SUPREMO's null headline should not license omitting PMRT in node-positive pts, because it never tested chest-wall plus nodal RT. Even its truncated field improved node-positive local recurrence, consistent with the Danish, British Columbia, and EBCTCG data.

SUPREMO tested chest-wall RT alone, prohibited RNI, and diluted with 25% node-negative pts, so its null DFS/OS can't establish PMRT omission for node-positive disease.

In 1-3 node-positive post-mastectomy pts, this critique cautions against reading SUPREMO as clearance to omit nodal RT; it does not extend to truly node-negative pts, where SUPREMO and EBCTCG show no PMRT benefit.

📚 Sources · 📄 1 paper
📄 PAPER Naoum, George E.; Taghian, Alphonse G. · Annals of Surgical Oncology (2026-03)
When Postmastectomy Radiotherapy (PMRT) is not Really PMRT: A Critical Evaluation of SUPREMO Trial
📝 NOTE: add as a criticism of SUPREMO
Caveats dominate

FIRESTORM

ForHigh-risk meningioma: WHO grade 2 STR or recurrent, postop RT

TL;DR5-yr PFS 65.8% vs 38.8% favoring dose-escalated RT (BED ≥79.2 Gy), HR 0.40; OS not improved.

Why it mattersRadiation oncology

The trade-off is the actionable read: escalating to BED ≥79.2 Gy (≈66 Gy/33 fx) roughly doubled 5-yr PFS (65.8% vs 38.8%) but tripled any-grade radionecrosis (33.9% vs 13.2%), with severe RN unchanged (5.1% vs 3.2%) and no OS gain. Benefit was largest after subtotal resection.

9 details 3 trials watching

Individual patient-level meta-analysis pooling 7 institutions, N=248 (59 DE-RT, 189 SD-RT). Retrospective, non-randomized; compared by Kaplan-Meier, Cox multivariable, and IPTW propensity analysis.

High-risk meningioma: 75.8% WHO grade 2, 41.5% recurrent (grade 3 the remainder), 75.2% subtotal resection.

DE-RT defined as biologically effective dose ≥79.2 Gy (equivalent 66 Gy/33 fx); SD-RT comparator conventionally fractionated 59.4 Gy/33 fx or 60 Gy/30 fx. Mixed photon/carbon vs photon-alone DE-RT showed no PFS difference (81.3% vs 92.0% at 3y, P=.34).

Primary: progression-free survival, DE-RT vs SD-RT. Also overall survival and CNS radionecrosis.

OS not improved despite the PFS gain: 5-yr OS 83.8% vs 68.4% (P=.056 UVA), non-significant on MVA (HR 0.66, P=.27) and IPTW (HR 0.77, P=.42).

EndpointDE-RTSD-RT
3-yr PFS86.4%55.6%
5-yr PFS65.8%38.8%
Adjusted HR (MVA)0.40 (0.24-0.69), P=.001ref
IPTW HR0.45 (0.24-0.83), P=.01ref
RadionecrosisDE-RTSD-RT
Any grade33.9% (20/59)13.2% (25/189)
Grade 3+5.1%3.2%

Any-grade radionecrosis higher with DE-RT (33.9% vs 13.2%, P=.001) but grade 3+ similar (5.1% vs 3.2%); most RN was low-grade.

Standard-dose postoperative meningioma RT (RTOG-0539 high-risk 60 Gy, EORTC-22042 60 Gy) sits at/below this cohort's SD-RT arm; the dose-response signal here motivates the ongoing randomized escalation question.

high-risk meningioma (WHO grade 2 subtotally resected or recurrent, plus grade 3) receiving postoperative fractionated RT
Does not represent gross-totally-resected grade 1 disease, upfront observation, or radiosurgery-only management.

Retrospective non-randomized pooling: DE-RT allocation confounded, IPTW mitigates but cannot fully adjust. PFS gain without OS benefit; prior-RT and grade imbalance across arms.

Retrospective non-randomized IPD pooling; DE-RT allocation confounded despite IPTW. PFS-only gain, no OS benefit. Signal supports escalation but needs randomized confirmation.

In high-risk meningioma (WHO grade 2, subtotally resected or recurrent) receiving postoperative RT, this supports a higher dose (BED ≥79.2 Gy) for local control; it does not extend to gross-totally-resected grade 1 disease or establish an OS benefit.

📚 Sources · 📄 1 paper
📄 PAPER Singh, Raj; Koempel, Andrew; French, Beck et al. · International Journal of Radiation Oncology*Biology*Physics (2026-07)
Improved Progression-Free Survival Following Dose-Escalated Versus Standard-Dose Postoperative Radiation Therapy for High-Risk Meningiomas: An International Multicenter Individual Patient–Level Meta-Analysis (FIRESTORM)
Abstract
PURPOSE: We performed an individual patient-level meta-analysis of high-risk meningiomas to compare the outcomes of dose-escalated radiation therapy (DE-RT) versus standard-dose postoperative radiation therapy (SD-RT).<br/><br/>METHODS AND MATERIALS: A total of 7 institutions participated. DE-RT was defined as treatment with a biologically effective dose of &#x2265;79.2 Gy (equivalent of 66 Gy in 33 fractions). We compared progression-free survival (PFS) with DE-RT versus SD-RT via Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank t tests, a Cox proportional hazards multivariable model, and propensity score analyses with inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW). We also compared incidences of central nervous system radionecrosis (RN) with DE-RT versus SD-RT.<br/><br/>RESULTS: The analysis included 248 patients with high-risk meningioma (59 received DE-RT and 189 received SD-RT). One hundred and eighty-eight cases (75.8%) were World Health Organization grade 2, and 103 cases (41.5%) were recurrent meningiomas. Extent of resection was subtotal resection in 182 of 248 (75.2%). Three- and 5-year PFS rates were 62.8% (95% CI, 55.8%-69.0%) and 45.0% (95% CI, 37.3%-52.3%), respectively. DE-RT was associated with superior PFS rates (P = .0022), with 3-year (86.4% vs 55.6%) and 5-year (65.8% vs 38.8%) PFS rates favoring DE-RT. On multivariable analysis, DE-RT was associated with superior PFS (hazard ratio, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.24-0.69; P = .001). On IPTW, DE-RT continued to be associated with superior PFS (hazard ratio, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.24-0.83; P = .01). A greater incidence of any grade RN was observed following DE-RT (20 of 59; 33.9%) versus SD-RT (25 of 189; 13.2%) (P = .001) but with similar grade 3 or greater RN events (DE-RT 5.1% vs SD-RT 3.2%).<br/><br/>CONCLUSIONS: DE-RT resulted in superior PFS for patients with high-risk meningiomas over SD-RT without an increase in severe toxicities.
Caveats dominate

DeLLphi-304

ForRelapsed SCLC with brain mets, >70% prior CNS-directed therapy

TL;DRIntracranial: time-to-CNS-progression HR 0.54 ITT; in brain-mets pts CNS PFS 6.5 vs 4.2mo (HR 0.40), CNS CR 15% vs 5% for tarlatamab.

Why it mattersRadiation oncology

The RT read is intracranial control without new radiation: brain-mets CNS PFS 6.5 vs 4.2mo (HR 0.40) and CNS CR 15% vs 5%. But >70% had prior CNS-directed therapy, so this is salvage intracranial activity, not a defer-brain-RT signal in RT-naive disease. Informs sequencing systemic ahead of repeat cranial RT.

DeLLphi-304
ArmMedian CNS PFSHR (95% CI)
Tarlatamab (n=254)NE (13.7-NE)0.54 (0.39-0.75)
Chemotherapy (n=255)7.2 mo (5.6-NE)n/a
+2 more figures
DeLLphi-304
ArmMedian CNS PFSHR (95% CI)
Tarlatamab (n=67)6.5 mo (4.3-13.7)0.40 (0.24-0.66)
Chemotherapy (n=56)4.2 mo (2.9-5.5)n/a
DeLLphi-304
CNS endpointTarlatamab (n=67)Chemotherapy (n=56)
Complete response10 (14.9%)3 (5.4%)
Disease control rate52 (77.6%)40 (71.4%)
Median duration CNS disease control8.2 mo5.2 mo
5 details 2 trials watching

Post hoc intracranial analysis of DeLLphi-304, a phase 3 RCT of tarlatamab vs chemotherapy in relapsed SCLC. CNS endpoints were not prespecified primary. Data cutoff Jan 29 2025; median follow-up 11.4 mo (tarlatamab), 11.5 mo (chemo).

Relapsed SCLC. ITT CNS cohort n=254 tarlatamab vs 255 chemo; brain-mets subgroup n=67 vs 56. >70% of brain-mets pts had prior CNS-directed therapy.

Time to CNS progression or death (ITT, RECIST per investigator); brain-mets CNS PFS by mRANO-BM (BICR); best CNS response, CNS disease control rate, and response durations.

ITT time to CNS progression HR 0.54 (0.39-0.75), median NE vs 7.2 mo. Brain-mets CNS PFS and response detail in figures.

First DLL3xCD3 bispecific intracranial signal in SCLC; CNS control historically relied on WBRT/SRS and prophylactic cranial irradiation, not a systemic agent.

relapsed SCLC with brain mets, mostly previously treated for CNS disease
Does not represent RT-naive or symptomatic brain mets needing upfront local therapy.

Post hoc, unstratified brain-mets HRs, small subgroup N. >70% prior CNS therapy confounds de novo intracranial activity. No new safety data in source.

Post hoc CNS analysis; brain-mets HRs unstratified with small N (67 vs 56), and >70% had prior CNS-directed therapy, confounding de novo intracranial activity.

For relapsed SCLC with previously-treated brain mets, this supports systemic intracranial control as an option before committing to repeat cranial RT; it does not inform RT-naive or symptomatic brain mets, where upfront local therapy still applies.

📚 Sources · 🐦 1 tweet
Caveats dominate

PROTEUS

TL;DRMost distant mets PSMA PET-detected (53.0% APA vs 60.7% control); preview NEJM data, MFS benefit's clinical meaning contested.

6 details 1 trial watching

Randomized, apalutamide + ADT vs ADT alone. Results just posted (NEJM online); full ASCO26 presentation pending, so this is a preview read.

Most distant metastases were PSMA PET-detected: 53.0% in the apalutamide group vs 60.7% in the control group. Primary MFS effect size not reported in source.

MFS events were predominantly PET-detected, raising lead-time / detection-bias concerns about the endpoint. The 50-vs-60 BCR/100 figures circulating are an illustrative hypothetical, not PROTEUS primary data.

Curator frames it as 'homerun vs largest negative' pending full data. A companion thought experiment argues PSMA PET vs conventional detection differences could account for much of the apparent metastasis delta.

Preview NEJM data; primary effect size not in source. Most MFS events PSMA PET-detected (53.0% vs 60.7%), raising lead-time/detection bias that undermines the MFS read.

📚 Sources · 🐦 3 tweets
📝 Note until the trial is released later this is preview
📝 note add commentary to proteus discussion
📝 add to proteus data
Caveats dominate

OCEANUS

ForAdvanced/refractory NSCLC on immunoradiotherapy, median age 64, 74% male

TL;DRSequential iRT beat concurrent for real-world OS in newly-dx advanced NSCLC: median 20.3 vs 16.0 mo, HR 0.68 (0.47-0.99), P=.045.

Why it mattersRadiation oncology

Sequential iRT (ICI and RT not overlapping) beat concurrent for real-world OS in newly-dx advanced NSCLC, HR 0.68 (0.47-0.99), P=.045, favoring temporal separation of RT from ICI. RT dose, fractionation, and target volume aren't in the source, so the signal can't yet transfer to a specific plan. The refractory RT+ICI-maintenance read was NS (P=.20).

7 details 1 trial watching

Territory-wide real-world cohort (OCEANUS, Hong Kong CDARS, >90% population coverage); NSCLC diagnosed 2010-2021 who received iRT. Overlap-weighting propensity score primary, IPTW sensitivity; landmark-based OS with weighted Kaplan-Meier and Cox (restricted mean survival time where PH violated).

335 of 3522 ICI-treated pts received RT: 155 newly-dx advanced, 180 refractory. Median age 64 (34-90), 73.7% male. Refractory analysis required survival ≥90 days (landmark).

RT dose, fractionation, modality, and target volume not reported in source. The variable studied is timing of RT relative to ICI (sequential vs concurrent), not technique.

Both comparisons favored the sequential / ICI-maintenance arm (magnitudes in table). Chemotherapy was associated with longer OS in newly-dx pts only; not significant in refractory disease.

Setting / comparisonExperimental OSControl OSHR / P value
Newly-dx advanced, sequential vs concurrent iRT20.3 mo (95% CI 13.3-NR)16.0 mo (95% CI 8.3-30.0)HR 0.68 (0.47-0.99), P=.045
Refractory, RT + ICI maintenance vs RT alone11.2 mo (95% CI 7.9-20.6)6.7 mo (95% CI 4.4-17.4)P=.20 (ns)

Randomized data on iRT sequencing in advanced NSCLC are limited (stated by authors). RT-before-ICI direction is consistent with the PACIFIC consolidation paradigm, but PACIFIC treated curative-intent unresectable stage III with concurrent chemoRT, a different population.

advanced or refractory NSCLC receiving immunoradiotherapy, predominantly male, median age 64
Does not represent curative-intent stage III chemoRT, oligometastatic, or ICI-treated patients who did not receive RT.

Observational: sequential vs concurrent not randomized, residual confounding by indication despite weighting. Small subgroups (155 newly-dx). Refractory comparison non-significant (P=.20).

Observational real-world cohort; sequential-vs-concurrent not randomized, confounding by indication despite propensity weighting. Small subgroups (155 newly-dx). Authors label it hypothesis-generating.

In newly-diagnosed advanced NSCLC starting immunoradiotherapy, this real-world signal supports separating RT from ICI in time rather than delivering them concurrently; it does not extend to refractory disease, where the RT-plus-ICI-maintenance benefit was not significant.

📚 Sources · 📄 1 paper
📄 PAPER Zhou; Wang; Lee et al. · JAMA oncology (2026-05)
Combination of Radiotherapy and Immunotherapy in Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer.
Abstract
IMPORTANCE: The optimal sequencing of radiotherapy (RT) combined with immunotherapy (iRT) and the value of chemotherapy remain undefined for advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), where randomized data are limited.<br/><br/>OBJECTIVE: To compare real-world overall survival (OS) between sequential and concurrent iRT in newly diagnosed advanced NSCLC, assess the effect of immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) maintenance after RT in refractory disease, and evaluate the association of chemotherapy with survival.<br/><br/>DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This is a territory-wide study (OCEANUS) based on the Hong Kong Hospital Authority Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System (more than 90% population coverage). Patients with NSCLC diagnosed from January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2021, who subsequently received iRT for advanced or refractory disease were included. Overlap weighting was the primary propensity score-weighted method, with inverse probability of treatment weighting used for sensitivity analysis. Data were analyzed from December 2024 to April 2025.<br/><br/>EXPOSURES: Sequential vs concurrent iRT for newly diagnosed advanced NSCLC; RT with vs without ICI maintenance for refractory NSCLC; receipt of chemotherapy.<br/><br/>MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary outcome was real-world OS after landmark, estimated with weighted Kaplan-Meier and Cox models. When proportional hazards were violated (per Schoenfeld residuals), treatment effects were summarized using restricted mean survival time.<br/><br/>RESULTS: Of 3522 patients who received ICIs, 335 received RT, including 155 with newly diagnosed advanced and 180 with refractory NSCLC. Of these, 247 (73.7%) were male, and the median (range) age was 64 (34-90) years. In newly diagnosed NSCLC, patients treated with sequential iRT had significant longer real-world OS than those treated with concurrent iRT (median, 20.3 months [95% CI, 13.3 to not reached] vs 16.0 months [95% CI, 8.3-30.0]; adjusted hazard ratio, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.47-0.99; P&#x2009;=&#x2009;.045). Chemotherapy was also associated with longer survival in patients with newly diagnosed advanced NSCLC. In refractory NSCLC, RT with ICI maintenance was associated with a numerically longer median real-world OS (11.2 months [95% CI, 7.9-20.6] vs 6.7 months [95% CI, 4.4-17.4]; P&#x2009;=&#x2009;.20). Addition of chemotherapy was not significant for real-world OS. Inverse probability of treatment weighting analyses produced similar estimates.<br/><br/>CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this cohort study, sequential iRT was associated with longer survival than concurrent iRT in patients with newly diagnosed advanced NSCLC, and chemotherapy was associated with longer survival. In patients with refractory NSCLC who survived at least 90 days, RT with ICI maintenance resulted in nonsignificantly longer survival and an unclear association with chemotherapy. These findings are hypothesis generating and support prospective randomized studies to define optimal sequencing of iRT and use of systemic treatment partners.
📝 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamaoncology/fullarticle/2847148?guestAccessKey=6284363c-f1dd-46da-aa0e-8528e5ecca06&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social_jamaonc&utm_term=20674463146&utm_campaign=article_alert&linkId=952727864
Caveats dominate

ENZAMET + Decipher (Part 2)

FormHSPC on ADT + enzalutamide, Decipher genomic classifier available

TL;DRDecipher >0.85 predicts docetaxel OS benefit on an ADT+enza backbone (HR 0.75 vs 1.94, interaction p=0.04); ≤0.85 can skip docetaxel.

Monday clinic

In mHSPC starting ADT + enzalutamide, a Decipher score >0.85 is where the docetaxel OS benefit concentrates while ≤0.85 sees little added benefit; the read informs docetaxel selection, not any radiotherapy decision.

ENZAMET + Decipher (Part 2)
Treatment armDecipher >0.85 vs ≤0.85 OS HRp
ADT + ENZA3.02 (1.50-5.76)
ADT + ENZA + Doce1.08 (0.60-1.71)0.73
+1 more figure
ENZAMET + Decipher (Part 2)
Decipher stratumUnweighted HR (doce vs none)IPTW-weighted HR
≤0.852.78 (1.49-5.21)1.94 (0.95-3.96)
>0.851.13 (0.71-1.79)0.75 (0.43-1.33)
7 details

Preplanned biomarker analysis of the phase 3 ENZAMET RCT. Decipher genomic classifier (DPMC, cutpoint >0.85) applied to the ADT + enzalutamide backbone cohort, N=320.

Metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer on an ADT + enzalutamide backbone with an available Decipher score. A low-volume subset was analysed separately.

ADT + enzalutamide ± early docetaxel. Docetaxel was given at investigator discretion (a stratification factor), so the docetaxel comparison is not randomised.

Two-part signal: Decipher >0.85 is prognostic for worse OS on ADT+enza, and by IPTW interaction (p=0.04) predicts OS benefit from added docetaxel; ≤0.85 derives little benefit. Effect sizes in the figures.

Consistent with docetaxel OS benefit in CHARTED and STAMPEDE for high-volume/high-risk mHSPC; positions Decipher as a molecular refinement of that selection. Presented as Level 1B evidence.

mHSPC pts on an ADT + enzalutamide backbone with a Decipher score
Does not represent pts managed without a Decipher score, or on systemic backbones other than ADT + enzalutamide.

Docetaxel not randomised (IPTW-weighted, residual imbalance after scoring); the high-Decipher benefit's CI crosses 1 and rests on a subgroup interaction. Hypothesis-generating, not yet practice-defining.

Post-hoc biomarker-by-docetaxel interaction; docetaxel not randomised (IPTW-weighted, residual imbalance acknowledged). High-Decipher benefit CI crosses 1, rests on interaction p=0.04, strengthened only after weighting.

  • Prospective validation of Decipher-guided docetaxel selection in mHSPC
  • Whether DPMC ≤0.85 pts can safely omit docetaxel
  • Decipher predictive value across other intensification agents (ARSI, PARP)
📚 Sources · 🐦 1 tweet
Caveats dominate

SPIN Score (Celiac Plexus SRS) NCT03323489

ForPancreatic cancer, intractable retroperitoneal pain, celiac SRS candidates

TL;DR89% pain response at SPIN 2 vs 32% at SPIN 0 for celiac SRS; post-hoc selection score, n=90.

Why it mattersRadiation oncology

Response is threshold-gated on baseline pain (>6 → 65.8%, rising to 85.7% at >8), and the strongest predictor was neurotoxic-chemo exposure (multivariate OR 5.1). The RT decision this moves is timing: refer for celiac SRS before neurotoxic agents. SRS dose/fractionation not reported in source (parent Lancet Oncol trial).

9 details

Post-hoc predictor analysis of the pivotal single-arm phase 2 celiac plexus SRS trial (NCT03323489, Lancet Oncol 2024). 90 evaluable pts; univariate/multivariate logistic regression with 500-iteration bootstrap internal validation.

Pancreatic-cancer pts with intractable retroperitoneal (celiac) cancer pain treated on the phase 2 SRS trial. Age and BMI were the prior-reported predictors; median baseline values not in source.

Celiac plexus radiosurgery, target D12-L2. Dose and fractionation not reported in source (specified in the parent Lancet Oncol trial), so transferability of the technique can't be judged here.

Pain response = ≥2-point reduction in average BPI-SF pain from baseline to 3 weeks. Score performance judged by optimism-corrected AUC.

Two independent predictors (severe baseline pain, no prior neurotoxic chemo) build a 0-2 score with a monotonic response gradient (see tables). Discrimination modest, AUC 0.714 corrected.

SPIN scorePain responsen
032%31
153%40
289%19
PredictorUnivariate ORMultivariate OR
Neurotoxic chemo exposure5.33 (2.13-13.4), p<0.0015.1, p=0.009
Baseline pain intensity1.73, p=0.0031.8, p=0.003
Age1.06, p=0.014dropped (collinearity)
Therapy line0.65, p=0.04dropped (collinearity)

Celiac plexus SRS is a novel non-invasive palliative option recently added to NCCN guidelines. This analysis converts the parent trial's flat response into an actionable selection score and argues for earlier use, before neurotoxic chemotherapy.

pancreatic-cancer pts with intractable retroperitoneal pain evaluated for celiac plexus SRS
Does not represent pts already exposed to neurotoxic chemotherapy (lower predicted response) or non-pancreatic retroperitoneal pain.

Post-hoc, single-arm data; predictors are associative. Internal bootstrap validation only (optimism-corrected AUC 0.714), external validation required. Subjective 3-week pain endpoint; score not prospectively tested.

Post-hoc predictor modeling of a single-arm phase 2; internal bootstrap validation only, external validation pending. Associations, not a prospectively validated selection tool.

In pancreatic-cancer pts with severe retroperitoneal pain and no prior neurotoxic chemo (SPIN 2), this supports earlier celiac plexus SRS, where 89% (n=19) achieved pain response; it does not extend to SPIN-0 pts, whose response was 32% (n=31).

  • External validation of the SPIN score in an independent cohort
  • Whether earlier SRS before neurotoxic chemo improves outcomes prospectively
  • Durability of pain response beyond 3 weeks
📚 Sources · 🐦 1 tweet
Caveats dominate

SWOG S1007

ForHR+/HER2− breast, 1-3 nodes, Oncotype RS ≤25

TL;DR5y LRR 0.55% without RNI vs 0.85% with; IDFS unchanged by RNI (HR 1.03 premenopausal, 0.85 postmenopausal) in RS ≤25 N1 breast.

Why it mattersRadiation oncology

The RT read: RNI omission after breast conservation carries low locoregional risk, 5y LRR 0.55% without RNI vs 0.85% with, in RS ≤25 N1 disease. Chemo omission alone is not an RNI indication, so this supports withholding RNI in biologically favorable N1, pending randomized confirmation.

6 details 3 trials watching

Secondary analysis of SWOG S1007 (RxPONDER), a phase 3 RCT of chemo omission by 21-gene recurrence score. RNI receipt was prospectively recorded, not randomized. Median follow-up 6.1y; survival landmarked at 1y.

HR+/HER2−, Oncotype RS ≤25, 1-3 positive nodes. 4871 had RT forms; 81% received RT, and 59% of those with target data received RNI (targeting ≥ supraclavicular region).

RNI defined as targeting at least the supraclavicular region. The 59/41 split in RNI use reflects genuine practice equipoise in favorable N1 disease.

LRR was low across every locoregional approach; only mastectomy without RT reached 1.7%. IDFS did not differ by RNI in either menopausal group (see tables).

Locoregional therapy5y cumulative LRR
BCS + RT + RNI0.85%
BCS + RT, no RNI0.55%
Mastectomy + PMRT0.11%
Mastectomy, no RT1.7%
Menopausal statusIDFS HR95% CIp
Premenopausal1.030.74-1.430.87
Postmenopausal0.850.68-1.070.16

Consistent with MA.20 / EORTC 22922, where RNI's benefit was concentrated in higher-risk node-positive disease. TAILOR RT (MA.39) is randomizing RNI in exactly this RS-low N1 population.

HR+/HER2−, RS ≤25, 1-3 node breast cancer on modern systemic therapy
Does not represent higher recurrence-score, >3 node, or HER2+/triple-negative disease.

RNI comparison is non-randomized: confounding by indication (higher-risk pts selected for RNI) can mask a true RNI effect. Landmarking at 1y and diverse-setting RT reporting add noise.

RNI vs no-RNI comparison is non-randomized within RxPONDER; confounding by indication limits the null IDFS and low-LRR read. Randomized RNI trial (TAILOR RT) pending.

In HR+/HER2− breast with 1-3 positive nodes and Oncotype RS ≤25, this supports omitting regional nodal irradiation given low LRR; it does not extend to higher recurrence-score or >3 node disease.

📚 Sources · 📄 1 paper
📄 PAPER Jagsi; Barlow; Woodward et al. · JAMA oncology (2023-08)
Radiotherapy Use and Incidence of Locoregional Recurrence in Patients With Favorable-Risk, Node-Positive Breast Cancer Enrolled in the SWOG S1007 Trial.
Abstract
IMPORTANCE: Little is known about regional nodal irradiation (RNI) practice patterns or rates of locoregional recurrence (LRR) with and without RNI in patients with limited nodal disease and favorable biology treated with modern surgical and systemic therapy, including approaches that de-escalate those latter treatments.<br/><br/>OBJECTIVE: To investigate how often patients with low-recurrence score breast cancer with 1 to 3 nodes involved receive RNI, incidence and predictors of LRR, and associations between locoregional therapy and disease-free survival.<br/><br/>DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In this secondary analysis of the SWOG S1007 trial, patients with hormone receptor-positive, ERBB2-negative breast cancer, and a Oncotype DX 21-gene Breast Recurrence Score assay result of no more than 25, were randomized to endocrine therapy alone vs chemotherapy then endocrine therapy. Prospectively collected radiotherapy information was collected from 4871 patients treated in diverse settings. Data were analyzed June 2022 to April 2023.<br/><br/>EXPOSURE: Receipt of RNI (targeting at least the supraclavicular region).<br/><br/>MAIN OUTCOME(S) AND MEASURE(S): Cumulative incidence of LRR was calculated by locoregional treatment received. Analyses were assessed for associations between invasive disease-free survival (IDFS) and locoregional therapy, adjusted for menopausal status, treatment group, recurrence score, tumor size, nodes involved, and axillary surgery. Radiotherapy information was recorded in the first year after randomization, so survival analyses were landmarked as starting at 1 year among those still at risk.<br/><br/>RESULTS: Of 4871 female patients (median [range] age, 57 [18-87] years) with radiotherapy forms, 3947 (81.0%) reported radiotherapy receipt. Of 3852 patients who received radiotherapy and had complete information on targets, 2274 (59.0%) received RNI. With a median follow-up of 6.1 years, the cumulative incidence of LRR by 5 years was 0.85% among patients who received breast-conserving surgery and radiotherapy with RNI; 0.55% after breast-conserving surgery with radiotherapy without RNI; 0.11% after mastectomy with postmastectomy radiotherapy; and 1.7% after mastectomy without radiotherapy. Similarly low LRR was observed within the group assigned to endocrine therapy without chemotherapy. The rate of IDFS did not differ by RNI receipt (premenopausal: hazard ratio [HR], 1.03; 95% CI, 0.74-1.43; P&#x2009;=&#x2009;.87; postmenopausal: HR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.68-1.07; P&#x2009;=&#x2009;.16).<br/><br/>CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this secondary analysis of a clinical trial, RNI use was divided in the setting of biologically favorable N1 disease, and rates of LRR were low even in patients who did not receive RNI. Disease-free survival was not associated with RNI receipt; omission of chemotherapy among patients similar to those enrolled in the S1007 trial is not an independent indication for use of RNI.
Caveats dominate

Proton vs Photon PMRT Capsular Contracture

ForPostmastectomy implant-based reconstruction (TE/I or DTI) receiving PMRT

TL;DRProton PMRT trended toward higher capsular contracture vs IMRT photon (univariate HR 2.3; MVA HR 1.76 ns); proton+DTI worst, 50% 2yr CC.

Why it mattersRadiation oncology

The interaction is the read: DTI reconstruction, not modality, dominates CC risk (HR 3.0), and proton+DTI stacks to 50% 2yr CC vs 12% for photon+TE/I. When proton is chosen for cardiac/pulmonary sparing, reconstruction choice (favor TE/I over DTI) is the modifiable lever.

8 details 2 trials watching

Retrospective, IRB-approved, 2 centers within one institution, Jan 2017 to Dec 2023. N=175 (89 proton, 86 photon). CC estimated by Kaplan-Meier; Cox proportional hazards for HRs, logistic regression to verify. Median follow-up 42 mo (proton), 47 mo (photon).

Breast cancer pts with subpectoral 2-stage tissue expander/implant (TE/I) or direct-to-implant (DTI) reconstruction receiving PMRT. Median age 49 (24-78); 63% Hispanic. All TE/I pts had the expander irradiated. Groups imbalanced on laterality (P<.001) and reconstruction type (P<.001).

PBS proton vs IMRT photon PMRT. Dose and fractionation not reported in source. In TE/I, the tissue expander itself was the irradiated target.

Proton vs photon CC: univariate HR 2.3 (1.26-4.30, P=.007), attenuating to HR 1.76 (0.93-3.32, P=.083, ns) on multivariable. DTI vs TE/I: HR 3.0 (1.7-5.5, P<.001), the dominant driver. Per-group 2yr CC rates in the table.

Modality + reconstructionn2-yr CC rate
Proton + DTI3650%
Photon + DTI1535%
Proton + TE/I5323%
Photon + TE/I7112%

Prior proton PMRT evidence centered on improved cardiac and pulmonary dosimetry; head-to-head capsular-contracture data proton vs photon were scarce. This is the largest proton reconstruction cohort reported to date.

postmastectomy implant-based reconstruction (TE/I or DTI) receiving PBS proton or IMRT photon PMRT at a single institution
Does not represent autologous reconstruction, non-irradiated reconstruction, or a randomized proton-versus-photon comparison.

Retrospective, single-institution, N=175, with groups imbalanced on reconstruction type and laterality. The proton effect lost significance after adjustment (P=.083), so residual confounding (reconstruction type driving both proton selection and CC) cannot be excluded.

The modifiable variable is reconstruction, not beam: DTI carries roughly 3x the CC hazard, and proton stacked on DTI reaches 50% 2yr CC. Where proton is chosen for heart or lung sparing, staged TE/I may blunt the CC penalty; a prospective comparison is needed to confirm.

Retrospective single-institution cohort; groups imbalanced on reconstruction type and laterality; proton effect lost significance on multivariable (HR 1.76, P=.083). Signal, not confirmation.

In a postmastectomy pt weighing DTI vs staged TE/I reconstruction who will receive proton PMRT, the CC signal is concentrated in DTI (proton+DTI 50% vs proton+TE/I 23% 2yr); it does not resolve proton vs photon overall, which was ns on multivariable.

  • Prospective proton vs photon PMRT capsular contracture comparison
  • Whether staged TE/I reconstruction mitigates proton capsular contracture risk
    n=300 · primary completion 2023-08 · 2-stage expander/implant, capsular contracture EP
    n=750 · primary completion 2027-08 · recon timing + type vs RT complication risk
  • Mechanism: proton dose distribution vs selection bias driving contracture
📚 Sources · 📄 2 papers
📄 PAPER Zerey; Gal; Feenstra et al. · International journal of radiation oncology, biology, physics (2026-04)
Does Pencil Beam Scanning Proton Therapy Impart a Higher Risk of Capsular Contracture Compared With Intensity Modulated Photon Radiation Therapy in the Postmastectomy Reconstruction Setting?
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Postmastectomy radiation therapy (PMRT) may cause adverse events in the reconstruction setting. Proton-based PMRT is increasingly used and has been shown to improve cardiac and pulmonary dosimetry. Data on the risk of capsular contracture (CC) with proton versus photon PMRT remain scarce. We compared the CC rate of the largest cohort of patients undergoing reconstruction after pencil beam scanning proton PMRT reported to date with an intensity modulated radiation therapy photon cohort, hypothesizing that the proton cohort would have a higher rate of CC.<br/><br/>METHODS AND MATERIALS: An institutional review board -approved retrospective study was conducted on patients with breast cancer who underwent subpectoral 2-stage tissue expander/implant (TE/I) or direct-to-implant (DTI) breast reconstruction and received either pencil beam scanning proton or intensity modulated radiation therapy photon PMRT between January 2017 and December 2023 at 2 centers within a single institution. All patients undergoing TE/I had the TE irradiated. CC rates were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox proportional hazards analysis, denoted as hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs, was used to assess variables potentially associated with the outcome, and a binary logistic regression model was used to verify the results.<br/><br/>RESULTS: The study cohort comprised 175 patients (89 proton; 86 photon). The median age was 49 years (range, 24-78), 63% were Hispanic. Patient demographics were well balanced between the groups, except in tumor laterality (P < .001) and reconstruction type (TE/I vs DTI; P < .001). The median follow-up was 42 and 47 months for the proton and photon groups, respectively. In a multivariable analysis, DTI patients had a significantly higher risk of CC compared with TE/I patients (HR, 3.0; 95% CI, 1.7-5.5; P < .001). Proton patients had a higher risk of developing CC compared with the photon group in univariate analysis (HR, 2.3; 95% CI, 1.26-4.30; P = .007), although this effect did not reach statistical significance in the multivariable model (HR, 1.76; 95% CI, 0.93-3.32; P = .083). The 2-year CC rate for patients treated with protons and DTI (n = 36), photons and DTI (n = 15), protons and TE/I (n = 53), and photons and TE/I (n = 71) was 50%, 35%, 23%, 12%, respectively (P < .001). No other factors were significantly associated with CC development.<br/><br/>CONCLUSION: In this contemporary large proton versus photon PMRT cohort, patients treated with proton showed a trend toward an increased risk of CC. Patients undergoing DTI who were treated with protons had the highest risk of CC (50%). Careful consideration of reconstruction and radiation therapy modalities, assessing CC risk, and also involving patient input, is important for treatment selection.
📄 PAPER Zerey, M.M.; Gal, O.; Feenstra, N. et al. · International Journal of Radiation Oncology*Biology*Physics (2025-09)
Does Pencil Beam Scanning Proton Therapy Impart a Higher Risk of Capsular Contracture when Compared with Intensity Modulated Photon Radiotherapy in the Post-Mastectomy Reconstruction Setting?
📝 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijrobp.2025.07.1298
Caveats dominate

NRG/RTOG 9804 + E5194 Combined Analysis

ForGood-risk DCIS (low/int grade, ≤2.5cm, ≥3mm margins), lumpectomy without RT

TL;DR15-yr IBR 11.4% vs 19.0% with vs without tamoxifen in RT-omitted good-risk DCIS; MVA HR 0.54, invasive-IBR HR 0.43.

Why it mattersRadiation oncology

Tamoxifen's benefit here concentrates on invasive IBR (HR 0.43, p=0.0042), not DCIS-IBR (p=0.089), offsetting the recurrences that carry survival weight. But 15-yr IBR stays 11.4% even with tamoxifen, and no arm tests RT, so this informs the omit-RT-plus-endocrine path, not RT vs tamoxifen.

7 details 4 trials watching

Ancillary exploratory analysis pooling the non-RT arm of NRG/RTOG 9804 with the good-risk cohort of ECOG-ACRIN E5194. N=878 (317 + 561), median follow-up 14.85 yr.

Good-risk DCIS: low or intermediate grade, ≤2.5 cm, margins ≥3 mm, lumpectomy without RT. Median age 59. Tamoxifen users skewed toward negative re-excision and pathologic size ≤5 mm.

Tamoxifen optional and non-randomized, used by 43.1% overall (65.6% in 9804, 30.3% in E5194).

No RT in either cohort by design; this characterizes the RT-omitted good-risk population, not an RT comparison.

IBR overall, invasive IBR, DCIS-IBR, contralateral breast event, OS. Fine-Gray competing-risk models, univariate plus multivariable.

NSABP B-24 randomized tamoxifen after lumpectomy plus RT and cut breast events; this extends the tamoxifen signal to the RT-omitted good-risk setting, though non-randomized.

good-risk DCIS (low/intermediate grade, ≤2.5 cm, ≥3 mm margins) managed by lumpectomy alone
Does not represent high-grade or RT-treated DCIS, nor a head-to-head of tamoxifen against RT.

Tamoxifen not randomized; users differed on prognostic factors (re-excision, size), so residual confounding is likely. Exploratory combined dataset, not a prespecified endpoint.

EndpointHR (95% CI)p
Any IBR0.54 (0.35-0.83)0.0045
Invasive IBR0.43 (0.24-0.77)0.0042
Group15-yr IBR (95% CI)
Tamoxifen11.4% (7.9-15.5)
No tamoxifen19.0% (15.3-22.9)

Non-randomized optional tamoxifen compared within a post-hoc combined dataset; users differed on prognostic factors. Consistent with randomized NSABP B-24 signal but confounded here.

For good-risk DCIS where RT is already being omitted, this supports endocrine therapy to reduce invasive IBR; it does not test whether tamoxifen substitutes for RT.

📚 Sources · 📄 1 paper
📄 PAPER Wright; Moughan; Woodward et al. · International journal of radiation oncology, biology, physics (2026-05)
Impact of Tamoxifen Only After Lumpectomy for "Good-Risk" Duct Carcinoma In Situ: Combined Analysis of the NRG Oncology/RTOG 9804 and ECOG-ACRIN E5194 Trials.
Abstract
PURPOSE: The NRG Oncology/Radiation Therapy Oncology Group (RTOG) 9804 trial randomized patients with "good-risk" ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) to radiation (RT) or no RT following lumpectomy. The Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group-American College of Radiology Imaging Network E5194 trial had a comparable cohort observed without RT. Tamoxifen use was optional in both trials. This ancillary exploratory analysis combining both data sets assessed the effect of tamoxifen on ipsilateral breast recurrence (IBR) in "good-risk" DCIS treated with lumpectomy alone.<br/><br/>METHODS AND MATERIALS: A combined database from the non-RT arm of NRG/RTOG 9804 and the "good-risk" cohort from E5194 (low- or intermediate-grade, &#x2264;2.5 cm, excision margins &#x2265;3 mm) was created, and distributions of patient and DCIS characteristics by tamoxifen use were compared by &#x3c7;2. IBR, invasive IBR, DCIS-IBR, contralateral breast event, and overall survival were estimated, and distributions were compared between tamoxifen use groups. Univariate and multivariable Fine-Gray regression models were used to analyze factors that may be associated with endpoints.<br/><br/>RESULTS: Eight hundred and seventy-eight patients were analyzed (317 from NRG/RTOG 9804 and 561 from E5194). The use of tamoxifen overall was 43.1% (65.6% in NRG/RTOG 9804 and 30.3% in E5194). At a median follow-up of 14.85 years, there were 117 IBRs (65 invasive and 52 DCIS). There was a significant association for reduced IBR with tamoxifen use (P = .001); estimated 15-year IBR with tamoxifen is 11.4% (95% CI, 7.9-15.5) and without is 19.0% (15.3-22.9). Tamoxifen use was significantly associated with reduced invasive IBR (P = .0048) but not DCIS-IBR (P = .089). On multivariable analysis, patients who received tamoxifen were 46% less likely to have any IBR (hazard ratio, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.35-0.83; P = .0045), and 57% less likely to have invasive IBR (hazard ratio, 0.43; 95% CI, 0.24-0.77; P = 0.0042).<br/><br/>CONCLUSION: For patients with "good-risk" DCIS treated with lumpectomy without RT, tamoxifen use was significantly associated with a reduction in IBR overall and invasive IBR, not DCIS-IBR.
📝 https://www.redjournal.org/article/S0360-3016(26)00703-0/abstract
Caveats dominate

OPERA Trial (5-year)

ForRectal cancer, post-neoadjuvant therapy

TL;DR76% achieved a good clinical response at W14 (DRE+rectoscopy); nCR matched cCR for 5yr organ preservation (77% vs 81%), enabling early W&W selection.

Why it mattersRadiation oncology

nCR carries the same 5yr organ-preservation prognosis as cCR (77% vs 81%) and reflects RT-related mucosal change, not residual tumor, so an nCR at reassessment shouldn't route a patient to salvage TME. Early W14 clinical exam (DRE+rectoscopy) matched MRI TRG1-2 in 98%, letting W&W selection move up from W24.

8 details 3 trials watching

Post-hoc analysis of the randomised OPERA trial, N=141 evaluable. Tests an earlier response timepoint (W14, ~1 mo after NAT end) against the protocol W24 triad, scoring clinical tumor response (CTRE) by DRE + rectoscopy as cCR / nCR / PR.

OPERA randomised the boost after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (EBRT boost vs contact X-ray brachytherapy boost); these slides don't label which arm is which. The higher early good-response rate in one arm did not translate to a 5yr organ-preservation difference (see table).

rectal cancer treated with neoadjuvant therapy and considered for organ preservation
Does not represent partial responders (24%) or upfront-surgery candidates, in whom watch-and-wait was not offered.

Post-hoc, non-randomised comparison of response groups; W14 selection not prospectively validated against the protocol W24 assessment. Single-trial, modest N; 5yr OP differences underpowered (p=0.24).

Authors' RT-relevant read: nCR reflects radiation change, not residual tumor, and matches cCR for organ preservation (77% vs 81%), so an nCR should not trigger salvage TME. Early DRE + rectoscopy can move W&W selection up to W14 with MRI confirmation.

EndpointArm AArm Bp
W14 good response (cCR+nCR)65%88%0.004
5yr organ preservation75%83%0.24

Post-hoc analysis of an alternate (W14 vs protocol W24) timepoint; response-group comparison non-randomised and not prospectively validated for W&W selection.

In a rectal-cancer pt with a near-complete clinical response after chemoradiotherapy, this supports continued watch-and-wait over radical TME; the 24% with only a partial response stay surgical candidates and aren't covered.

📚 Sources · 🐦 1 tweet
Caveats dominate

RADIOSA (MFS post-hoc)

ForOligorecurrent prostate cancer eligible for metastasis-directed SBRT

TL;DRPost-hoc MFS 16.6mo vs not reached, HR 0.39 favoring SBRT + 6mo ADT over SBRT alone in oligorecurrent prostate.

Why it mattersRadiation oncology

The additive read is the eugonadal MFS: benefit persisted after testosterone recovery (p<0.05), so the ADT effect is not just on-treatment suppression of imaging progression. That argues against reading RADIOSA's MFS split as a testosterone artifact, and moves the SBRT-alone vs SBRT + short-course ADT decision in oligorecurrence.

Also covered Jun 12

RADIOSA (MFS post-hoc)
EndpointArm A (SBRT)Arm B (SBRT + ADT)Effect size
Metastatic progression32/51 (62.7%)19/51 (37.3%)log-rank p=0.00079
Median MFS16.6 mo (95% CI 12.83-NA)not reachedHR 0.3894 (0.2201-0.6888), p=0.00119
+1 more figure
Methods: N=102 randomized 1:1; median follow-up 49.23 months (95% CI 42.47-54.8).
Methods: N=102 randomized 1:1; median follow-up 49.23 months (95% CI 42.47-54.8).
8 details 5 trials watching

Phase II randomized trial, 1:1, N=102, Arm A SBRT alone vs Arm B SBRT + 6-month ADT. Median follow-up (reverse KM) 49.23 months (95% CI 42.47-54.8). This report is a post-hoc analysis of MFS and eugonadal MFS.

Oligorecurrent prostate cancer. Detailed eligibility (number of lesions, imaging modality, prior local therapy, PSA thresholds) not reported in source.

SBRT to the oligorecurrent sites in both arms. Dose, fractionation, and target volume are not reported in source, which limits transfer to a specific practice.

MFS defined as randomisation to any M1 metastatic recurrence on imaging. Eugonadal MFS measured from testosterone recovery to new metastasis or last follow-up. KM curves compared by log-rank; HRs from Cox models.

Effect sizes are in the figure caption table. All Arm B pts except two reached testosterone recovery within follow-up.

oligorecurrent prostate cancer treated with metastasis-directed SBRT with or without 6-month ADT
Does not represent de novo metastatic, castration-resistant, or polymetastatic disease.

Post-hoc analysis; MFS was not the prespecified primary endpoint. No OS reported in source, so the surrogate carries the read. Toxicity and SBRT technique parameters absent from source.

The eugonadal analysis is the substantive contribution: separating the benefit from on-treatment castration addresses the standing objection that ADT simply delays imaging-detected progression. Whether that reflects durable synergy between ablation and transient androgen suppression, as the authors argue, is hypothesis-generating at N=102.

Post-hoc endpoint analysis of a phase II trial; MFS was not the prespecified primary. Design dominates the read despite the clean randomisation and mature follow-up.

In oligorecurrent prostate cancer being considered for metastasis-directed SBRT, this supports the discussion of adding 6-month ADT over SBRT alone; it does not address de novo metastatic or castration-resistant disease, and the SBRT dose and target volume are not stated in the source.

📚 Sources · 🐦 1 tweet
Caveats dominate

Tumour bed boost after BCS + WBRT

ForPost-BCS invasive breast cancer treated with WBRT, Dutch cohort 2012-2016

TL;DR10-yr IBTR 1.2% no-boost vs 1.2% boost in 0-2 risk factors; boost omission viable in modern systemic era.

Why it mattersRadiation oncology

The boost arm carries HIGHER crude IBTR at every stratum (10-yr 3.3% vs 2.7% at ≥3 RF), which is confounding by indication, not harm, and it means these data cannot estimate boost efficacy at all. What they do support is a floor: with 0-2 risk factors, 10-yr IBTR is 1.2% either way, so the omission decision rests on that absolute rate.

Tumour bed boost after BCS + WBRT
Risk factorsN no boostN boost5-yr no boost5-yr boost10-yr no boost10-yr boost
0-215,08513,8450.6%0.7%1.2%1.2%
≥ 31497331.3%2.9%2.7%3.3%
Uncertain5929440.8%3.3%1.4%3.6%
+2 more figures
Study aim: 5- and 10-yr IBTR with/without boost. Assisi thresholds: <3% boost, <6% no boost.
Study aim: 5- and 10-yr IBTR with/without boost. Assisi thresholds: <3% boost, <6% no boost.
Tumour bed boost after BCS + WBRT
9 details

Dutch population-based cohort (DBRT / Netherlands Cancer Registry linkage) of breast-conserving treatment, 2012-2016. Non-randomised: boost use reflects clinician risk assessment, not allocation.

Breast conserving treatment with or without an RT boost. Strata by number of risk factors: 0-2 (15,085 no boost / 13,845 boost), ≥3 (149 / 733), uncertain (592 / 944).

Whole-breast RT with or without tumour bed boost. No dose, fractionation, boost technique, or target-volume detail reported in source.

Primary: ipsilateral breast tumour recurrence (IBTR), histologically confirmed via a pathology-report text/code algorithm. Cumulative incidence reported at 5 and 10 years by risk-factor count.

Low IBTR across every subgroup. Only the ≥3 risk-factor boost group crossed an Assisi threshold at 10 years (3.3%, vs the <3% bar).

EORTC 22881-10882 anchored the ~50% relative IBTR reduction from boost. Absolute IBTR here is an order of magnitude below that trial's era, which is the authors' argument that a relative halving now buys little absolute benefit.

pts having BCS + WBRT for invasive breast cancer with 0-2 of the five listed risk factors, treated in the modern systemic-therapy era
Does not represent pts with ≥3 risk factors, DCIS-only, or anyone whose boost benefit would be estimated from these data, since allocation was not randomised.

Confounding by indication is the dominant issue: higher-risk pts got the boost, so crude boost-arm rates run higher. The ≥3 RF no-boost cell is 149 pts. 10-yr estimates on a 2012-2016 cohort are projected, and IBTR ascertainment was algorithmic.

Registry cohort with non-random boost allocation; confounding by indication and a 149-pt no-boost ≥3 RF stratum undercut the omission claim.

In post-BCS pts with 0-2 of the listed risk factors receiving WBRT, this supports discussing boost omission on absolute-risk grounds; it does not inform pts with ≥3 risk factors, where the ≥3 RF no-boost stratum is only 149 pts.

  • Which ≥3 risk-factor subgroups actually gain from a boost
  • Does boost omission hold with longer observed follow-up
  • Boost value in pts with residual disease after neoadjuvant therapy
📚 Sources · 🐦 1 tweet