Breast
The de-escalation question the EBCTCG meta-analysis could not answer for 1-3 node-positive disease on modern systemic therapy.
SUPREMO
ForPost-mastectomy pT1-2N1, pT3N0, or pT2N0 grade 3/LVI+ breast cancer
81.4% vs 81.9%
HR 1.04, 95% CI 0.82-1.30, P=0.80; primary endpoint not met
TL;DR10yr OS 81.4% vs 81.9% (HR 1.04, 0.82-1.30, p=0.80): PMRT omission safe in intermediate-risk pN0-pN1 post-mastectomy.
The RT read is the local-control trade: 1.1% vs 2.5% chest-wall recurrence, 29 events total, bought with 40-50 Gy to the chest wall in a population where OS was flat at 10 years. Nodal volumes were not routinely treated (SCF 97/808), so this speaks to chest wall alone, not to regional nodal irradiation.
In a pT2N1 or pT3N0 mastectomy patient who has completed modern adjuvant systemic therapy, this supports discussing PMRT omission with an absolute chest-wall recurrence trade under 2 points; it does not address regional nodal irradiation or pN2-N3 disease.
The trade is 1.1% vs 2.5% chest-wall recurrence from 40-50 Gy, with 10yr OS flat (HR 1.04). Nodal volumes were not routinely treated (SCF 97/808, IMC 12/808), so this licenses chest-wall omission specifically, not regional nodal omission, and moves PMRT here into a morbidity-versus-local-control discussion.
The systemic backbone (85% chemo, 79% endocrine, 19% trastuzumab) is what makes the null interpretable: with modern adjuvant therapy the residual chest-wall event rate is 2.5% untreated, leaving no room for RT to alter survival. Referral for PMRT in this band becomes optional rather than expected.
After mastectomy plus an axillary procedure in pT1-2N1, pT3N0, or pT2N0 grade 3/LVI disease, expected PMRT no longer carries a survival argument (HR 1.04), which changes the reconstruction conversation at the time of surgery since a planned reconstruction need not be sequenced around anticipated chest-wall irradiation.
Also covered Jul 9
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International phase 3 randomized trial (BIG 2-04 MRC/EORTC SUPREMO), 125 UK sites plus 27 European and 21 international sites. N=1607 ITT (808 CWI, 799 no CWI), randomized August 2006 to April 2013, database lock June 2024. Median follow-up 9.6 years.
"Intermediate-risk" post-mastectomy disease: pT1N1, pT2N1, pT3N0, or pT2N0 with grade 3 and/or LVI. All had mastectomy, an axillary procedure, and systemic therapy. Baseline systemic exposure: 85% chemotherapy, 79% endocrine, 19% trastuzumab.
Chest wall 40 to 50 Gy in the irradiation arm. Nodal volumes were not part of the randomized question: supraclavicular fossa treated in only 97/808 irradiated patients, internal mammary chain in 12/808. Twelve patients in the no-irradiation arm received SCF treatment.
Primary: overall survival at 10 years. Secondary: chest-wall recurrence, regional recurrence, disease-free survival, distant metastasis-free survival, cause of death, radiation-related adverse events.
The historic case for postmastectomy RT in node-positive disease rests on the EBCTCG overview, where the locoregional-control gain translated into a mortality benefit. SUPREMO tests that inheritance in the 1-3 node and high-risk node-negative band under contemporary systemic therapy and finds the recurrence signal preserved (HR 0.45) but the survival signal absent (HR 1.04).
The chest-wall recurrence benefit rests on 29 events total with a CI upper bound of 0.99, so the point estimate is unstable. Accrual ran 2006-2013, predating routine dual HER2 blockade, extended adjuvant CDK4/6 inhibition, and current genomic risk stratification, all of which lower the baseline recurrence rate this trial was powered against.
A flat OS with a halved chest-wall recurrence is the signature of a locoregional intervention operating below the threshold where local control converts into survival. At 1.1% vs 2.5%, the absolute chest-wall event rate in both arms is low enough that no plausible salvage-to-mortality pathway could move a 10-year OS curve. The result reframes PMRT in this band as a local-control decision to be weighed against RT morbidity, not as a survival decision.
| Endpoint | CWI | No CWI | HR (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall survival (1ยฐ) | 81.4% | 81.9% | 1.04 (0.82-1.30), p=0.80 |
| Disease-free survival | 76.2% | 75.5% | 0.97 (0.79-1.18) |
| Distant MFS | 78.2% | 79.2% | 1.06 (0.86-1.31) |
| Chest-wall recurrence | 9 (1.1%) | 20 (2.5%) | 0.45 (0.20-0.99) |
CONSORT flow
Adequately powered phase 3, prespecified OS primary, 9.6yr median follow-up, modern systemic backbone. Supports omitting PMRT in a population where guidelines still often recommend it.
- Does regional nodal irradiation carry the same null in pN1 disease
- Which biomarker or genomic subgroup still benefits from chest-wall RT
- Late cardiac and second-malignancy burden of the irradiated arm