Prostate
Both entries are PSMA PET interpretation, not treatment data: a post-salvage-RT natural history cohort and a counterpoint talk arguing SUVmax change is not yet a validated response endpoint.
PSMA PET Natural History Study in PSMA-Positive BCR
ForBiochemically recurrent prostate ca, post-definitive + salvage RT, PSA β₯ 0.5
TL;DRBaseline data on first 130 pts: most BCR men with PSADT >9-12mo still have PSMA PET findings once PSA exceeds 5.
Reported via UroToday β
The RT-relevant point is where the disease sits: prostate bed recurrence and nodal disease are the dominant baseline patterns, all in men who already had or declined salvage RT. If most slow-PSADT pts light up above PSA 5, PET positivity alone cannot gate metastasis-directed SBRT, and the trigger has to come from kinetics or serial change.
In post-salvage-RT BCR with PSADT over 9mo and a PSMA PET showing a few nodal or bed lesions, this supports serial imaging over reflex systemic therapy; it says nothing about pts with rapid PSADT or conventional-imaging metastases.
Nodal disease and prostate bed recurrence dominate the baseline patterns in men already past salvage RT, so this is the population MDT gets offered to. If most slow-PSADT pts are PET-positive above PSA 5, lesion count reflects scan timing more than biology, which weakens PET positivity as the gate for SBRT.
Only about a third of the cohort has started any therapy, and only 5 of the first ~150 progressed on conventional imaging at ~1.5yr. That is the counterweight to reflex mCSPC-style doublet therapy triggered by PSMA PET findings in men whose PSA kinetics are slow.
11 details
Prospective observational natural history cohort at the NCI, presented at GU-ASCO 2026. Baseline data on the first 130 pts; the cohort is ongoing at a median follow-up of about 2 years with interim outcome data pending.
Men with biochemical recurrence after definitive therapy, all of whom had already received salvage radiation or declined it. PSA β₯ 0.5 required for a baseline PET. Deliberately framed as PSMA-positive BCR, a state that would not have been detectable in the historical trials these pts map onto and that excluded them from metastatic trials.
The presented analysis is cross-sectional: PSMA PET findings at baseline against PSA doubling time, the field's working predictor of metastasis in BCR. Imaging cadence is protocolized at annual if the baseline PET is negative, every 6 months if anything is seen, including equivocal findings.
Among pts with slow kinetics (PSADT > 9mo and > 12mo), the majority still had PSMA PET findings once PSA was above 5: nodal disease, prostate bed recurrence, and small equivocal bone lesions. Only about a third have started any therapy. A companion poster found 5 of the first ~150 pts progressed on conventional imaging at roughly 1.5yr, and over 95% showed no abrupt PET change out of step with PSA.
The counts are reported conversationally in an interview ("about 130", "the first 150 or so", "that number's five"), with no stratum denominators and no CIs, so the PSADT-by-PET relationship cannot be quantified from this source. Allowing any therapy under 6 months, including SBRT and intermittent ADT, means the observed group is not an untreated comparator.
The claim being staked is that PSMA PET positivity in BCR is near-ubiquitous above PSA 5 and therefore weakly discriminating, so it should not by itself trigger treatment. What the cohort has not yet shown is whether PET burden or its change over time adds anything to PSA doubling time for predicting the outcomes that matter.
Baseline cross-sectional read of an ongoing single-institution cohort, median f/u ~2yr, no outcome analysis yet. Numbers reported conversationally, not tabulated.
- Does PET burden or its change add to PSA doubling time for predicting progression?
- Which PSMA-positive BCR pts can safely be observed off therapy?
- Are small equivocal bone lesions on PSMA PET true metastases?
π Sources Β· π 1 paper
Abstract
USPCC 2026 Point-Counterpoint: PSMA PET Response Assessment in APMR
ForAPMR / mCRPC starting ARSI or bipolar androgen therapy, serial PSMA PET considered
TL;DRHigh vs low Ξ΄-percent SUVmax carried HR 5.03 (1.17-21.65) for OS; Ξ΄-absolute SUVmax HR 9.31 (1.81-47.87).
Reported via UroToday β
The prognostic separation is real but the direction of uptake change is the confound: ADT and ARSI can raise PSMA expression independent of burden, so a flare on restaging PET after starting an ARSI is not evidence to abandon a planned metastasis-directed course. Timing of the post-treatment scan relative to systemic therapy start is the parameter that gates interpretation.
In APMR pts imaged shortly after starting abiraterone, enzalutamide, or bipolar androgen therapy, rising PSMA uptake does not reliably separate progression from AR-driven expression change; it does not speak to baseline staging PET, where the evidence base is separate.
Metastasis-directed therapy decisions increasingly rest on restaging PSMA PET. If that scan follows ARSI initiation, increased lesion avidity may reflect AR-driven PSMA upregulation rather than new disease, so scan timing relative to systemic therapy start gates whether the images should redirect a planned SBRT course.
Post-ARSI uptake change stratifies outcomes (DPSM HR 5.03, DASM HR 9.31 for OS) but was measured in 16 pts, and rising uptake at 2-4 months does not establish treatment failure. Time to therapy change should still be driven by PSA and conventional imaging.
9 details 5 trials watching
A point-counterpoint conference presentation, arguing the negative position. The evidence marshalled is three published studies: a prospective single-arm imaging trial (n=16 evaluable), a bipolar androgen therapy series (n=6), and the RECIP 1.0 framework paper.
The anchor trial enrolled pts with APMR starting abiraterone or enzalutamide, imaged with 18F-DCFPyL PET/CT immediately before therapy and again at 2-4 months. The BAT series imaged at baseline and 3 months.
Prognostic separation was consistent across both quantitative stratifiers, with DPSM HR 5.03 (95% CI 1.17-21.65) and DASM HR 9.31 (95% CI 1.81-47.87) for overall survival. A mixed but predominantly increased uptake pattern marked the shorter time to therapy change.
| Stratifier | Median time to therapy change | Median OS | p (TTC / OS) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Low DPSM | 12.2 mo (11.3-NA) | 37.2 mo (28.9-NA) | reference |
| High DPSM | 6.5 mo (4.6-NA) | 17.8 mo (13.9-NA) | 0.0001 / 0.02 |
| Low DASM | 12.2 mo (11.3-NA) | NA (37.2-NA) | reference |
| High DASM | 6.9 mo (6.1-NA) | 17.8 mo (13.9-NA) | 0.003 / 0.002 |
RECIP 1.0 is the field's standardization attempt, categorizing PD/PR/SD/CR by combining PSMA PET with CT, but it was derived in the radioligand therapy setting and its transfer to AR-directed therapy is exactly what Rowe argues is unestablished.
Beyond the small samples, the measurement layer itself is unvalidated: repeatability work using Bland-Altman, ICC, and within-subject coefficient of variation found lesion identification and segmentation variability material even above 1.5 cmΒ³. A biomarker whose test-retest behaviour is uncertain cannot support a serial-change decision rule.
The talk separates two claims that often get merged: that post-therapy PSMA PET change is prognostic, which the data support, and that it is a valid response assessment, which requires reproducibility and a therapy-independent relationship between uptake and burden. Prognostic value in a 16-patient series does not license per-patient treatment decisions.
Conference position talk, not a result. Its supporting datasets are n=16 and n=6 prospective series; no comparative design establishes or refutes PET response assessment.
- Kinetics of AR-axis therapy effects on PSMA expression recruiting Assessing Efficacy of Neoadjuvant ADT in Localized High-Risk Prostate Cancer Patients Utilizing 18F-Flotufolastat PSMA PET/CT Phase 2n=50 Β· primary completion 2030-02 Β· PSMA PET before and after neoadjuvant ADT, pre-RPrecruiting PSMA PET for Treatment Response evaLuation of systemIC Therapies in prostAte caNcer (PELICAN)n=1300 Β· primary completion 2034-04 Β· SUVmax/SUVmean on PSMA PET pre-abiraterone, n=1300
- Repeatability thresholds for SUV and lesion segmentation
- RECIP validation outside radioligand therapy not yet Prognostic Value of 177Lutetium-PSMA Single Photon Emission Tomography and Timing of Responsen=280 Β· primary completion 2026-09 Β· RECIP 1.0 by SPECT at cycle 2, not PETn=27 Β· primary completion 2027-07 Β· PSMA PET response endpoint after RT plus ADT/ARPIrecruiting Phase II Non-Randomized Study Evaluating POSLUMA-PSMA PET Response After Oligo- Metastatic/Progressive-directed Treatment With Radiotherapy (PROMPT-R) Phase 2n=50 Β· primary completion 2028-05 Β· PSMA PET response 6/12mo after ablative RT